Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33564207›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of personality2020

Trajectories of Big Five Personality Traits: A Coordinated Analysis of 16 Longitudinal Samples.

Eileen K Graham, Sara J Weston, Denis Gerstorf, Tomiko B Yoneda, Tom Booth, Christopher R Beam, Andrew J Petkus, Johanna Drewelies, Andrew N Hall, Emily D Bastarache and 19 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of personality, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 62 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
62citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

62 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Observational
  6. Functional brain organization is stable within individuals across years.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. A Taxonomy of Data Synthesis.Personality & social psychology bulletin · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Trends over 45 years in personality traits among older populations.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2025
    Article
  17. Age, Neuroticism, and Stressor-Related Negative Affect: Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Evidence from a Measurement Burst Study.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

2 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

29 authors.

Eileen K GrahamNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL USA.
Sara J WestonUniversity of Oregon, Eugene, OR USA.
Denis GerstorfHumboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
Tomiko B YonedaUniversity of Victoria, Victoria, BC Canada.
Tom BoothUniversity of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Christopher R BeamUniversity of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA USA.
Andrew J PetkusUniversity of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA USA.
Johanna DreweliesHumboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
Andrew N HallNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL USA.
Emily D BastaracheNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL USA.
Ryne EstabrookNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL USA.
Mindy J KatzAlbert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY USA.
Nicholas A TurianoUniversity of West Virginia, Morgantown, WV USA.
Ulman LindenbergerMax Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany.
Jacqui SmithUniversity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI USA.
Gert G WagnerGerman Institute for Economic Research, Berlin, Germany.
Nancy L PedersenKarolinska Institute, Solna, Sweden.
Mathias AllemandUniversity of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Avron SpiroVA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA USA.
Dorly J H DeegVU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Boo JohanssonUniversity of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Andrea M PiccininUniversity of Victoria, Victoria, BC Canada.
Richard B LiptonAlbert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY USA.
K Warner SchaiePennsylvania State University, State College, PA USA.
Sherry WillisUniversity of Washington, Seattle, WA USA.
Chandra A ReynoldsUniversity of California, Riverside, Riverside, IL USA.
Ian J DearyUniversity of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Scott M HoferUniversity of Victoria, Victoria, BC Canada.
Daniel K MroczekNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL USA.

Funding

U19 MIDlife in the United States-Diversity Supplement-WellsU19AG051426 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI CAROL D. RYFF · 2016 to 2026
$74.8M
Vascular Structure and Function in Cognitive AgingP01AG003949 · NIA · YESHIVA UNIVERSITY · PI Richard B. LIPTON · 1985 to 2026
$73.9M
Study Coordination and Measurement CoreP01AG043362 · NIA · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI HOFER, SCOTT M., KAYE, JEFFREY A · 2013 to 2017
$7.8M
PERSONALITY AND WELL BEING TRAJECTORIES IN ADULTHOODR01AG018436 · NIA · PURDUE UNIVERSITY WEST LAFAYETTE · PI MROCZEK, DANIEL K. · 2000 to 2020
$6.7M
Boston Early Adversity and Mortality Study (BEAMS): Linking Administrative Data to Long-Term Longitudinal StudiesRF1AG064006 · NIA · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI LEE, LEWINA ONYI, MROCZEK, DANIEL K. · 2019 to 2023
$3.8M
Personality prediction of dementia risk and progressionR01AG067622 · NIA · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI MROCZEK, DANIEL K. · 2019 to 2023
$3.2M
Long-term Effects of ACTIVE Cognitive Training on Everyday Functioning and Dementia-related Outcomes: Association of Race and Social Determinants of HealthR01AG056486 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI REBOK, GEORGE W., WILLIS, SHERRY L · 2017 to 2020
$3.1M
Seattle Longitudinal Study: Archiving, Harmonizing and Augmenting Alzheimer's Disease Relevant Data SetsR01AG055653 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI TOGA, ARTHUR W, WILLIS, SHERRY L · 2017 to 2020
$1.8M
Predoctoral Training Program in Biomedical Data Driven Discovery (BD3)T32LM012203 · NLM · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI KLABJAN, DIEGO, STARREN, JUSTIN B. · 2015 to 2019
$1.1M
Stress, Coping, Health, & Optimal AgingR01AG032037 · NIA · OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY · PI ALDWIN, CAROLYN M. · 2010 to 2013
$857k
Medical Research Council MR/K026992/1NIA NIH HHS P01 AG003949NIA NIH HHS P01 AG043362NIA NIH HHS R01 AG018436NIA NIH HHS R01 AG032037NIA NIH HHS R01 AG055653NIA NIH HHS R01 AG056486NIA NIH HHS R01 AG067622NIA NIH HHS RF1 AG064006NIA NIH HHS U19 AG051426NLM NIH HHS T32 LM012203
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study assessed change in self-reported Big Five personality traits. We conducted a coordinated integrative data analysis using data from 16 longitudinal samples, comprising a total sample of over 60 000 participants. We coordinated models across multiple datasets and fit identical multi-level growth models to assess and compare the extent of trait change over time. Quadratic change was assessed in a subset of samples with four or more measurement occasions. Across studies, the linear trajectory models revealed declines in conscientiousness, extraversion, and openness. Non-linear models suggested late-life increases in neuroticism. Meta-analytic summaries indicated that the fixed effects of personality change are somewhat heterogeneous and that the variability in trait change is partially explained by sample age, country of origin, and personality measurement method. We also found mixed evidence for predictors of change, specifically for sex and baseline age. This study demonstrates the importance of coordinated conceptual replications for accelerating the accumulation of robust and reliable findings in the lifespan developmental psychological sciences.

Indexed as

coordinated integrative data analysisIALSAlifespan developmentopen sciencepersonality changereplication

Identifiers

PMID33564207
PMCPMC7869960

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.