Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33563629›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2021

False-negative RT-PCR for COVID-19 and a diagnostic risk score: a retrospective cohort study among patients admitted to hospital.

Ankur Gupta-Wright, Colin Kenneth Macleod, Jessica Barrett, Sarah Ann Filson, Tumena Corrah, Victoria Parris, Gurjinder Sandhu, Miriam Harris, Rachel Tennant, Nidhi Vaid and 7 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

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  16. A systematic review of prediction models to diagnose COVID-19 in adults admitted to healthcare centers.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Ankur Gupta-Wright *Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK a.gupta-wright@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-5150-2970
Colin Kenneth Macleod *Clinical Research Department, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Jessica BarrettDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Sarah Ann FilsonDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Tumena CorrahDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Victoria ParrisDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Ealing Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK.
Gurjinder SandhuDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Ealing Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK.
Miriam HarrisDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Rachel TennantDepartment of Acute Medicine, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Nidhi VaidDepartment of Acute Medicine, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Junko TakataDepartment of Elderly Care, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Sai DuraisinghamDepartment of Elderly Care, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Nemi GandyDepartment of Radiology, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Harmeet ChanaDepartment of Radiology, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Ashley WhittingtonDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Alastair McGregorDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Northwick Park Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, Harrow, UK.
Padmasayee PapineniDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Ealing Hospital, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK.
London North West Healthcare NHS Trust · GBEaling Hospital · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo describe the characteristics and outcomes of patients with a clinical diagnosis of COVID-19 and false-negative SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcription-PCR (RT-PCR), and develop and internally validate a diagnostic risk score to predict risk of COVID-19 (including RT-PCR-negative COVID-19) among medical admissions.

designRetrospective cohort study.

settingTwo hospitals within an acute NHS Trust in London, UK.

participantsAll patients admitted to medical wards between 2 March and 3 May 2020. OUTCOMES: Main outcomes were diagnosis of COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR results, sensitivity of SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR and mortality during hospital admission. For the diagnostic risk score, we report discrimination, calibration and diagnostic accuracy of the model and simplified risk score and internal validation.

results4008 patients were admitted between 2 March and 3 May 2020. 1792 patients (44.8%) were diagnosed with COVID-19, of whom 1391 were SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR positive and 283 had only negative RT-PCRs. Compared with a clinical reference standard, sensitivity of RT-PCR in hospital patients was 83.1% (95% CI 81.2%-84.8%). Broadly, patients with false-negative RT-PCR COVID-19 and those confirmed by positive PCR had similar demographic and clinical characteristics but lower risk of intensive care unit admission and lower in-hospital mortality (adjusted OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.27-0.61). A simple diagnostic risk score comprising of age, sex, ethnicity, cough, fever or shortness of breath, National Early Warning Score 2, C reactive protein and chest radiograph appearance had moderate discrimination (area under the receiver-operator curve 0.83, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.85), good calibration and was internally validated.

conclusionRT-PCR-negative COVID-19 is common and is associated with lower mortality despite similar presentation. Diagnostic risk scores could potentially help triage patients requiring admission but need external validation.

Indexed as

COVID-19 Nucleic Acid TestingReverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain ReactionAgedAged, 80 and overCOVID-19False Negative ReactionsFemaleHospitalizationHumansLondonMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsCOVID-19epidemiologymolecular diagnostics

Identifiers

PMID33563629
PMCPMC7874904
OpenAlexW3127323183

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.