Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33552957›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in oncology2020

A Novel Prognostic Scoring System of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma With Machine Learning Basing on Real-World Data.

Zhizhen Li, Lei Yuan, Chen Zhang, Jiaxing Sun, Zeyuan Wang, Yu Wang, Xin Hao, Fei Gao, Xiaoqing Jiang

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Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

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13citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Application of AI on cholangiocarcinoma.Frontiers in oncology · 2024
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Zhizhen LiDepartment of Biliary Tract Surgery I, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Shanghai, China.
Lei YuanDepartment of Biliary Tract Surgery I, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Shanghai, China.
Chen ZhangWinchester School of Art, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.
Jiaxing SunDepartment of Medicine, Beijing Medicinovo Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing, China.
Zeyuan WangSchool of Computer Science, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Yu WangDepartment of Medicine, Dalian Medicinovo Technology Co., Ltd., Dalian, China.
Xin HaoDepartment of Medicine, Dalian Medicinovo Technology Co., Ltd., Dalian, China.
Fei GaoDepartment of Medicine, Beijing Medicinovo Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing, China.
Xiaoqing JiangDepartment of Biliary Tract Surgery I, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Shanghai, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesCurrently, the prognostic performance of the staging systems proposed by the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC 8th) and the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan (LCSGJ) in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains controversial. The aim of this study was to use machine learning techniques to modify existing ICC staging strategies based on clinical data and to demonstrate the accuracy and discrimination capacity in prognostic prediction. PATIENTS AND

methodsThis is a retrospective study based on 1,390 patients who underwent surgical resection for ICC at Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital from 2007 to 2015. External validation was performed for patients from 2015 to 2017. The ensemble of three machine learning algorithms was used to select the most important prognostic factors and stepwise Cox regression was employed to derive a modified scoring system. The discriminative ability and predictive accuracy were assessed using the Concordance Index (C-index) and Brier Score (BS). The results were externally validated through a cohort of 42 patients operated on from the same institution.

resultsSix independent prognosis factors were selected and incorporated in the modified scoring system, including carcinoembryonic antigen, carbohydrate antigen 19-9, alpha-fetoprotein, prealbumin, T and N of ICC staging category in 8th edition of AJCC. The proposed scoring system showed a more favorable discriminatory ability and model performance than the AJCC 8th and LCSGJ staging systems, with a higher C-index of 0.693 (95% CI, 0.663-0.723) in the internal validation cohort and 0.671 (95% CI, 0.602-0.740) in the external validation cohort, which was then confirmed with lower BS (0.103 in internal validation cohort and 0.169 in external validation cohort). Meanwhile, machine learning techniques for variable selection together with stepwise Cox regression for survival analysis shows a better prognostic accuracy than using stepwise Cox regression method only.

conclusionsThis study put forward a modified ICC scoring system based on prognosis factors selection incorporated with machine learning, for individualized prognosis evaluation in patients with ICC.

Indexed as

intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomamachine learningoverall survivalprognosisstaging system

Identifiers

PMID33552957
PMCPMC7855854

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