ArticleTransport policy2021
The impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on China's transport sectors based on the CGE model coupled with a decomposition analysis approach.
Article in Transport policy, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.
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30 citing papers in PubMed, 126 citations in OpenAlex.
- Characterization of air pollution and associated health risks in Gansu Province, China from 2015 to 2022.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- The impact of green innovation initiatives on competitiveness and financial performance of the land transport industry.Heliyon · 2023Article
- The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global trade-embodied carbon emissions.Journal of cleaner production · 2023Article
- Travel before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic: Exploring factors in essential travel using empirical data.Journal of transport geography · 2023Article
- On the contagion leakage via incoming flights during China's aviation policies in the fight against COVID-19.Journal of air transport management · 2023Article
- Evaluating the Impact of the Pandemic Crisis on the Aviation Industry.Transportation research record · 2023Article
- Evaluating the economic impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on shipping and port industry: A case study of the port of Shanghai.Ocean & coastal management · 2022Article
- Ghostbusters: Hunting abnormal flights in Europe during COVID-19.Transport policy · 2022Article
- A Review of COVID-19-Related Literature on Freight Transport: Impacts, Mitigation Strategies, Recovery Measures, and Future Research Directions.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Review
- Impact of COVID-19 on private driving behavior: Evidence from electric vehicle charging data.Transport policy · 2022Article
- The economic damage of COVID-19 on regional economies: an application of a spatial computable general equilibrium model to South Korea.The Annals of regional science · 2022Article
- Data analytics during pandemics: a transportation and location planning perspective.Annals of operations research · 2022Article
- Contrasting suitability and ambition in regional carbon mitigation.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Modeling long-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and oil price declines on Gulf oil economies.Economic modelling · 2022Article
- Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on road freight transportation - A Colombian case study.Research in transportation business & management · 2022Article
- Estimating COJournal of cleaner production · 2022Article
- Could China's long-term low-carbon energy transformation achieve the double dividend effect for the economy and environment?Environmental science and pollution research international · 2022Article
- The Unequal Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Labour Market and Income Inequality in China: A Multisectoral CGE Model Analysis Coupled with a Micro-Simulation Approach.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Investigation of empty container shortage based on SWARA-ARAS methods in the COVID-19 era.European transport research review · 2022Article
- The economic impacts of traffic consumption during the COVID-19 pandemic in China: A CGE analysis.Transport policy · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
7 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
As one of the most vulnerable sectors exposed to the COVID-19 pandemic, transport sectors have been severely affected. However, the shocks and impact mechanisms of infectious diseases on transport sectors are not fully understood. This paper employs a multi-sectoral computable general equilibrium model of China, CHINAGEM, with highly disaggregated transport sectors to examine the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on China's transport sectors and reveal the impact mechanisms of the pandemic shocks with the decomposition analysis approach. This study suggests that, first, multiple shocks of the COVID-19 pandemic to transport sectors are specified, including the supply-side shocks that raised the protective cost and reduced the production efficiency of transport sectors, and the demand-side shocks that reduced the demand of households and production sectors for transportation. Second, the outputs of all transport sectors in China have been severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, and passenger transport sectors have larger output decreases than freight transport sectors. While the outputs of freight transport sectors are expected to decline by 1.03-2.85%, the outputs of passenger transport sectors would decline by 3.08-11.44%. Third, with the decomposition analysis, the impacts of various exogenous shocks are quite different, while the changes in the output of different transport sectors are dominated by different exogenous shocks. Lastly, while the supply-side shocks of the pandemic would drive output decline in railway, waterway, and aviation transport sectors, the demand-side shocks would drive so in the road, pipeline, and other transport sectors. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic has negative impacts on the output of most non-transport sectors and the macro-economy in China. Three policy implications are recommended to mitigate the damages caused by the COVID-19 pandemic to the transport sectors.
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