Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33551387›Full record

ArticleJournal of epidemiology2021

Updated Trends in Cancer in Japan: Incidence in 1985-2015 and Mortality in 1958-2018-A Sign of Decrease in Cancer Incidence.

Kota Katanoda, Megumi Hori, Eiko Saito, Akiko Shibata, Yuri Ito, Tetsuji Minami, Sayaka Ikeda, Tatsuya Suzuki, Tomohiro Matsuda

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of epidemiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 102 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
102citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

102 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  4. High incidence of colorectal cancer in Japanese individuals with hypertension.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
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  7. Review
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  9. Trends in Female Breast Cancer Incidence among Japanese, Korean, and US Populations: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Evaluating Behavioral Impacts of School Cancer Education Programs Several Months and Years After Implementation in Japan.Journal of cancer education : the official journal of the American Association for Cancer Education · 2026
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
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42 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Kota KatanodaDivision of Cancer Statistics Integration, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services, National Cancer Center.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8687-1269
Megumi HoriDivision of Cancer Statistics Integration, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services, National Cancer Center.
Eiko SaitoDivision of Cancer Statistics Integration, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services, National Cancer Center.
Akiko ShibataCenter for Cancer Registries, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services, National Cancer Center.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8655-5837
Yuri ItoDepartment of Medical Statistics, Research & Development Center, Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1407-2393
Tetsuji MinamiDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, Division of Social Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo.
Sayaka IkedaDivision of Cancer Statistics Integration, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services, National Cancer Center.
Tatsuya SuzukiDepartment of Hematology, National Cancer Center Hospital.
Tomohiro MatsudaCenter for Cancer Registries, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services, National Cancer Center.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUnlike many North American and European countries, Japan has observed a continuous increase in cancer incidence over the last few decades. We examined the most recent trends in population-based cancer incidence and mortality in Japan.

methodsNational cancer mortality data between 1958 and 2018 were obtained from published vital statistics. Cancer incidence data between 1985 and 2015 were obtained from high-quality population-based cancer registries maintained by three prefectures (Yamagata, Fukui, and Nagasaki). Trends in age-standardized rates (ASR) were examined using Joinpoint regression analysis.

resultsFor males, all-cancer incidence increased between 1985 and 1996 (annual percent change [APC] +1.1%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.7-1.5%), increased again in 2000-2010 (+1.3%; 95% CI, 0.9-1.8%), and then decreased until 2015 (-1.4%; 95% CI, -2.5 to -0.3%). For females, all-cancer incidence increased until 2010 (+0.8%; 95% CI, 0.6-0.9% in 1985-2004 and +2.4%; 95% CI, 1.3-3.4% in 2004-2010), and stabilized thereafter until 2015. The post-2000 increase was mainly attributable to prostate in males and breast in females, which slowed or levelled during the first decade of the 2000s. After a sustained increase, all-cancer mortality for males decreased in 1996-2013 (-1.6%; 95% CI, -1.6 to -1.5%) and accelerated thereafter until 2018 (-2.5%; 95% CI, -2.9 to -2.0%). All-cancer mortality for females decreased intermittently throughout the observation period, with the most recent APC of -1.0% (95% CI, -1.1 to -0.9%) in 2003-2018. The recent decreases in mortality in both sexes, and in incidence in males, were mainly attributable to stomach, liver, and male lung cancers.

conclusionThe ASR of all-cancer incidence began decreasing significantly in males and levelled off in females in 2010.

Indexed as

FemaleHumansIncidenceJapanMaleMortalityNeoplasmsRegistriesincidencemortalityneoplasmspopulation surveillancevital statistics

Identifiers

PMID33551387
PMCPMC8187612

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.