Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33548281›Full record

ArticleGastrointestinal endoscopy2021

The risk of neoplasia in patients with Barrett's esophagus indefinite for dysplasia: a multicenter cohort study.

Richard Phillips, Wladyslaw Januszewicz, Nastazja D Pilonis, Maria O'Donovan, Tarek Sawas, David A Katzka, Rebecca C Fitzgerald, Massimiliano di Pietro

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Gastrointestinal endoscopy, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Endoscopic Management of Barrett's Esophagus.Digestive diseases and sciences · 2022
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Richard PhillipsMRC Cancer Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Wladyslaw JanuszewiczMRC Cancer Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Clinical Oncology, Medical Centre for Postgraduate Education, Warsaw, Poland.
Nastazja D PilonisMRC Cancer Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Maria O'DonovanDepartment of Histopathology, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Tarek SawasMayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
David A KatzkaMayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Rebecca C FitzgeraldMRC Cancer Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Massimiliano di PietroMRC Cancer Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
University of Cambridge · GBMayo Clinic · USAddenbrooke's Hospital · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_12022/2Medical Research Council MR/W014122/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsCurrent understanding of the risk of neoplastic progression in patients with Barrett's esophagus with indefinite dysplasia (BE-IND) stems from small retrospective and pathology registry studies. In this multicenter cohort study, we aimed to determine the incidence and prevalence of neoplasia in BE-IND.

methodsPatients with confirmed BE-IND from 2 academic centers were included if they had no previous evidence of dysplasia and underwent endoscopic follow-up (FU) of ≥1 year. The rate of progression to neoplasia was calculated and categorized as prevalent (progression within 1 year of FU) and incident (progression after 1 year of FU). Multivariable regression adjusted for relevant clinical features was performed to identify risk factors for progression.

resultsFour hundred sixty-five patients diagnosed with BE-IND were identified between 1997 and 2017, of which 223 (48.0%) were excluded. Of the remaining 242 patients, 184 (76.0%) had no evidence of dysplasia during FU. In 23 patients (9.5%), prevalent neoplasia occurred (20 low-grade dysplasia [LGD], 2 high-grade dysplasia [HGD], 1 intramucosal cancer [IMC]), whereas 35 patients (14.5%) developed incident neoplasia (27 LGD, 5 HGD, 3 IMC), after a median 1.5 years (interquartile range, 0.6-3.2 years). The incidence rates of any neoplasia and HGD/IMC were 3.2 and 0.6 cases/100 patient-years, respectively. BE length correlated with an increased risk of prevalent (odds ratio, 1.18 per 1 cm; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.38; P = .033) and incident neoplasia (odds ratio, 1.02; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.03; P = .016).

conclusionPatients with BE-IND should be closely monitored, because nearly a quarter harbor or will shortly develop dysplasia. BE length is a clinical predictor of neoplastic progression; however, more-accurate molecular biomarkers for risk stratification are warranted.

Indexed as

AdenocarcinomaBarrett EsophagusEsophageal NeoplasmsPrecancerous ConditionsCohort StudiesDisease ProgressionHumansRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID33548281
PMCPMC7611297
OpenAlexW3127652634

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.