Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33547422›Full record

ArticleJournal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology2021

Daily mean temperature and HFMD: risk assessment and attributable fraction identification in Ningbo China.

Rui Zhang, Zhehan Lin, Zhen Guo, Zhaorui Chang, Ran Niu, Yu Wang, Songwang Wang, Yonghong Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  15. Current status of hand-foot-and-mouth disease.Journal of biomedical science · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Rui ZhangChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China.
Zhehan LinChina Population Communication Center, Beijing, 100013, China.
Zhen GuoInstitute of Medical Information/Medical Library, CAMS & PUMC, Beijing, 100020, China.
Zhaorui ChangChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China.
Ran NiuNational Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 100050, China.
Yu WangNational Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 100021, China.
Songwang WangChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China. wangws@chinacdc.cn.
Yonghong LiNational Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 100021, China. liyonghong@nieh.chinacdc.cn.ORCID 0000-0001-5534-1644

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) remains a significant public health issue, especially in developing countries. Many studies have reported the association between environmental temperature and HFMD. However, the results are highly heterogeneous in different regions. In addition, there are few studies on the attributable risk of HFMD due to temperature.

objectivesThe study aimed to assess the association between temperature and HFMD incidence and to evaluate the attributable burden of HFMD due to temperature in Ningbo China.

methodsThe research used daily incidence of HFMD from 2014 to 2017 and distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) to investigate the effects of daily mean temperature (Tmean) on HFMD incidence from lag 0 to 30 days, after controlling potential confounders. The lag effects and cumulative relative risk (CRR) were analyzed. Attributable fraction (AF) of HFMD incidence due to temperature was calculated. Stratified analysis by gender and age were also conducted.

resultsThe significant associations between Tmean and HFMD incidence were observed in Ningbo for lag 0-30. Two peaks were observed at both low (5-11 °C) and high (16-29 °C) temperature scales. For low temperature scale, the highest CRR was 2.22 (95% CI: 1.61-3.07) at 7 °C on lag 0-30. For high temperature scale, the highest CRR was 3.54 (95% CI: 2.58-4.88) at 24 °C on lag 0-30. The AF due to low and high temperature was 5.23% (95% CI: 3.10-7.14%) and 39.55% (95% CI: 30.91-45.51%), respectively. There was no significant difference between gender- and age-specific AFs, even though the school-age and female children had slightly higher AF values.

conclusionsThe result indicates that both high and low temperatures were associated with daily incidence of HFMD, and more burdens were caused by heat in Ningbo.

Indexed as

Hand, Foot and Mouth DiseaseMeteorological ConceptsChildChinaFemaleHumansIncidenceRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsTemperatureHand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD); Meteorological factors; Temperature; Distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM); Ningbo

Identifiers

PMID33547422
PMCPMC8263339

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.