Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33547222›Full record

Observational studyOpen heart2021

Territory-wide cohort study of Brugada syndrome in Hong Kong: predictors of long-term outcomes using random survival forests and non-negative matrix factorisation.

Sharen Lee, Jiandong Zhou, Ka Hou Christien Li, Keith Sai Kit Leung, Ishan Lakhani, Tong Liu, Ian Chi Kei Wong, Ngai Shing Mok, Chloe Mak, Kamalan Jeevaratnam and 2 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Open heart, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Sharen LeeCardiovascular Analytics Group, Laboratory of Cardiovascular Physiology, Hong Kong, China.
Jiandong ZhouSchool of Data Science, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Ka Hou Christien LiFaculty of Medicine, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, Tyne and Wear, UK.
Keith Sai Kit LeungAston Medical School, Aston University, Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Ishan LakhaniCardiovascular Analytics Group, Laboratory of Cardiovascular Physiology, Hong Kong, China.
Tong LiuTianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, The Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
Ian Chi Kei WongResearch department of Practice and Policy, University College London School of Pharmacy, London, UK.
Ngai Shing MokDepartment of Medicine and Geriatrics, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Chloe MakDepartment of Pathology, Hong Kong Children's Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Kamalan JeevaratnamFaculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Surrey, Guildford, Surrey, UK.
Qingpeng ZhangSchool of Data Science, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Gary TseTianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, The Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China g.tse@surrey.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-5510-1253

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesBrugada syndrome (BrS) is an ion channelopathy that predisposes affected patients to spontaneous ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation (VT/VF) and sudden cardiac death. The aim of this study is to examine the predictive factors of spontaneous VT/VF.

methodsThis was a territory-wide retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with BrS between 1997 and 2019. The primary outcome was spontaneous VT/VF. Cox regression was used to identify significant risk predictors. Non-linear interactions between variables (latent patterns) were extracted using non-negative matrix factorisation (NMF) and used as inputs into the random survival forest (RSF) model.

resultsThis study included 516 consecutive BrS patients (mean age of initial presentation=50±16 years, male=92%) with a median follow-up of 86 (IQR: 45-118) months. The cohort was divided into subgroups based on initial disease manifestation: asymptomatic (n=314), syncope (n=159) or VT/VF (n=41). Annualised event rates per person-year were 1.70%, 0.05% and 0.01% for the VT/VF, syncope and asymptomatic subgroups, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed initial presentation of VT/VF (HR=24.0, 95% CI=1.21 to 479, p=0.037) and SD of P-wave duration (HR=1.07, 95% CI=1.00 to 1.13, p=0.044) were significant predictors. The NMF-RSF showed the best predictive performance compared with RSF and Cox regression models (precision: 0.87 vs 0.83 vs. 0.76, recall: 0.89 vs. 0.85 vs 0.73, F1-score: 0.88 vs 0.84 vs 0.74).

conclusionsClinical history, electrocardiographic markers and investigation results provide important information for risk stratification. Machine learning techniques using NMF and RSF significantly improves overall risk stratification performance.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsElectrocardiographyBrugada SyndromeCohort StudiesDeath, Sudden, CardiacFemaleHong KongHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentSurvival Ratearrhythmiasbiostatisticscardiacelectronic health recordsventricular fibrillationventricular tachycardia

Identifiers

PMID33547222
PMCPMC7871343

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.