Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33541270›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2021

Using electronic health records to inform trial feasibility in a rare autoimmune blistering skin disease in England.

M S M Persson, K E Harman, K S Thomas, J R Chalmers, Y Vinogradova, S M Langan, J Hippisley-Cox, S Gran

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

M S M PerssonCentre of Evidence Based Dermatology, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
K E HarmanCentre of Evidence Based Dermatology, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
K S ThomasCentre of Evidence Based Dermatology, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
J R ChalmersCentre of Evidence Based Dermatology, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Y VinogradovaDivision of Primary Care, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
S M LanganDepartment of Non-communicable Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
J Hippisley-CoxNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
S GranCentre of Evidence Based Dermatology, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK. sonia.gran@nottingham.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-2443-5100

Funding

Department of Health PB-PG-0817-20033Research for Patient Benefit Programme PB-PG-0817-20033Wellcome Trust 205039/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTrials of novel agents are required to improve the care of patients with rare diseases, but trial feasibility may be uncertain due to concerns over insufficient patient numbers. We aimed to determine the size of the pool of potential participants in England 2015-2017 for trials in the autoimmune blistering skin disease bullous pemphigoid.

methodsThe size of the pool of potential participants was estimated using routinely collected healthcare data from linked primary care (Clinical Practice Research Datalink; CPRD) and secondary care (Hospital Episode Statistics; HES) databases. Thirteen consultant dermatologists were surveyed to determine the likelihood that a patient would be eligible for a trial based on the presence of cautions or contra-indications to prednisolone use. These criteria were applied to determine how they influenced the potential pool of participants.

resultsExtrapolated to the population of England, we would expect approximately 10,800 (point estimate 10,747; 95% CI 7191 to 17,239) new cases of bullous pemphigoid to be identified in a three-year period. For a future trial involving oral prednisolone (standard care), the application of cautions to its use as exclusion criteria would result in approximately 365 potential participants unlikely to be recruited, a further 5332 could be recruited with caution, and 5104 in whom recruitment is still possible. 11-17% of potential participants may have pre-existing dementia and require an alternative consent process.

conclusionsRoutinely collected electronic health records can be used to inform the feasibility of clinical trials in rare diseases, such as whether recruitment is feasible nationally and how long recruitment might take to meet recruitment targets. Future trials of bullous pemphigoid in England may use the data presented to inform trial design, including eligibility criteria and consent processes for enrolling people with dementia.

Indexed as

Electronic Health RecordsPemphigoid, BullousEnglandFeasibility StudiesHumansPrednisolonePrednisoloneBullous pemphigoidClinical practice research DatalinkElectronic health recordsHospital episode StatisticsOral prednisoloneRare diseaseTrial design

Identifiers

PMID33541270
PMCPMC7863423

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.