Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33539547›Full record

ArticleCancer2021

Risk assessment for distant metastasis in differentiated thyroid cancer using molecular profiling: A matched case-control study.

Linwah Yip, William E Gooding, Alyaksandr Nikitski, Abigail I Wald, Sally E Carty, Esra Karslioglu-French, Raja R Seethala, Dan P Zandberg, Robert L Ferris, Marina N Nikiforova and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Guideline
  3. Guideline
  4. Molecular Diagnostics and [Thyroid : official journal of the American Thyroid Association · 2024
    Trial
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Pathological Diagnosis of Thyroid Nodules with Preoperatively DetectedThyroid : official journal of the American Thyroid Association · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Revisiting the Relationship Between Tumor Size and Risk in Well-Differentiated Thyroid Cancer.Thyroid : official journal of the American Thyroid Association · 2024
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Linwah YipDivision of Endocrine Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.ORCID 0000-0002-2449-3685
William E GoodingBiostatistics Facility, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center Hillman Cancer Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Alyaksandr NikitskiDepartment of Pathology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Abigail I WaldDepartment of Pathology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Sally E CartyDivision of Endocrine Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Esra Karslioglu-FrenchDivision of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Raja R SeethalaDepartment of Pathology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Dan P ZandbergDepartment of Medicine, Hillman Cancer Center, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.ORCID 0000-0002-1002-8301
Robert L FerrisDepartment of Otolaryngology, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Hillman Cancer Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.ORCID 0000-0001-6605-2071
Marina N NikiforovaDepartment of Pathology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Yuri E NikiforovDepartment of Pathology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.ORCID 0000-0002-2239-1095

Funding

WILD TYPE P53-BASED ADJUVANT IMMUNOTHERAPY FOR SCCHNP50CA097190 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI CHRISTOPHER J. BAKKENIST · 2004 to 2026
$49.6M
NCI NIH HHS P50 CA097190
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk stratification for patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is based primarily on pathologic tumor characteristics. Accurate preoperative prognostication could allow for more informed initial surgical recommendations, particularly among patients at a higher risk for distant metastasis (DM). The objective of this study was to characterize the genetic profile of DTC with DM and to validate a molecular-based risk stratification.

methodsA case-control study design was used to analyze patients who had DTC with DM (n = 62) and a propensity matched cohort of patients who had DTC without DM after at least 5 years of follow-up using the ThyroSeq version 3 targeted next-generation sequencing assay. The results were classified into high-risk, intermediate-risk, and low-risk of aggressive disease.

resultsMost patients who had DTC with DM (66%) had a late-hit mutation in TERT, TP53, or PIK3CA. After propensity matching by age, tumor size, and sex, the high-risk molecular profile had strong association with DM (high-risk vs intermediate-risk: odds ratio, 25.1; 95% CI, 3.07-204.4; P < .001; high-risk vs low-risk: odds ratio, 122.5; 95% CI, 14.5-1038.4; P < .001). Overall, molecular risk categories were associated with DM risk, with a concordance index of 0.836 (95% CI, 0.759-0.913), which remained consistent after internal validation. Within the range of 5% to 10% of DM observed in DTC, the expected probability of DM would be 0.2% to 0.4% for the low-risk molecular profile, 4.7% to 9.4% for the intermediate-risk molecular profile, and 19.3% to 33.5% for the high-risk molecular profile.

conclusionsIn this matched case-control study, genetic profiling using an available molecular assay provided accurate and robust risk stratification for DM in patients with DTC. The availability of preoperative prognostication may allow tailoring treatment for patients with DTC.

Indexed as

AdenocarcinomaThyroid NeoplasmsCase-Control StudiesHumansMutationRisk Assessmentdistant metastasismolecular geneticsmolecular profilethyroid cancer

Identifiers

PMID33539547
PMCPMC8113082

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.