Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33522669›Full record

ArticleMicroscopy research and technique2021

Machine learning techniques to detect and forecast the daily total COVID-19 infected and deaths cases under different lockdown types.

Tanzila Saba, Ibrahim Abunadi, Mirza Naveed Shahzad, Amjad Rehman Khan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Microscopy research and technique, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Comparison of Six Scoring Systems for Predicting In-hospital Mortality among Patients with SARS-COV2 Presenting to the Emergency Department.Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2023
    Article
  4. Data analytics and knowledge management approach for COVID-19 prediction and control.International journal of information technology : an official journal of Bharati Vidyapeeth's Institute of Computer Applications and Management · 2023
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Prediction of Patients with COVID-19 Requiring Intensive Care: A Cross-sectional Study Based on Machine-learning Approach from Iran.Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2022
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
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  15. Article
  16. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Tanzila SabaArtificial Intelligence and Data Analytics Lab, CCIS Prince Sultan University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3138-3801
Ibrahim AbunadiArtificial Intelligence and Data Analytics Lab, CCIS Prince Sultan University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2546-2450
Mirza Naveed ShahzadDepartment of Statistics, University of Gujrat, Gujrat, Pakistan.
Amjad Rehman KhanArtificial Intelligence and Data Analytics Lab, CCIS Prince Sultan University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0101-0329

Funding

Prince Sultan University COVID19-CCIS-2020[52]
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

COVID-19 has impacted the world in many ways, including loss of lives, economic downturn and social isolation. COVID-19 was emerged due to the SARS-CoV-2 that is highly infectious pandemic. Every country tried to control the COVID-19 spread by imposing different types of lockdowns. Therefore, there is an urgent need to forecast the daily confirmed infected cases and deaths in different types of lockdown to select the most appropriate lockdown strategies to control the intensity of this pandemic and reduce the burden in hospitals. Currently are imposed three types of lockdown (partial, herd, complete) in different countries. In this study, three countries from every type of lockdown were studied by applying time-series and machine learning models, named as random forests, K-nearest neighbors, SVM, decision trees (DTs), polynomial regression, Holt winter, ARIMA, and SARIMA to forecast daily confirm infected cases and deaths due to COVID-19. The models' accuracy and effectiveness were evaluated by error based on three performance criteria. Actually, a single forecasting model could not capture all data sets' trends due to the varying nature of data sets and lockdown types. Three top-ranked models were used to predict the confirmed infected cases and deaths, the outperformed models were also adopted for the out-of-sample prediction and obtained very close results to the actual values of cumulative infected cases and deaths due to COVID-19. This study has proposed the auspicious models for forecasting and the best lockdown strategy to mitigate the causalities of COVID-19.

Indexed as

Machine LearningCommunicable Disease ControlCOVID-19HumansPandemicsPhysical DistancingQuarantineSARS-CoV-2COVID-19healthcarelockdownlungs infectionmachine learning modelspublic healthtime series

Identifiers

PMID33522669
PMCPMC8014446

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.