Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33522124›Full record

ArticleESC heart failure2021

Mortality risk prediction in elderly patients with cardiogenic shock: results from the CardShock study.

Mari Hongisto, Johan Lassus, Tuukka Tarvasmäki, Alessandro Sionis, Jordi Sans-Rosello, Heli Tolppanen, Anu Kataja, Toni Jäntti, Tuija Sabell, Matias Greve Lindholm and 9 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in ESC heart failure, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. Machine Learning for Prediction of Outcomes in Cardiogenic Shock.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2022
    Article
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  13. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors at 11 institutions in 8 countries.

Mari HongistoDivision of Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine and Services, Helsinki University Hospital, PO Box 900, Helsinki, 00029 HUS, Finland.
Johan LassusCardiology, University of Helsinki and Heart and Lung Centre, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Tuukka TarvasmäkiCardiology, University of Helsinki and Heart and Lung Centre, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Alessandro SionisCardiology Department, Hospital de la Santa Creu I Sant Pau, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Biomedical Research Institute IIB-Sant Pau, CIBER-CV, Barcelona, Spain.
Jordi Sans-RoselloCardiology Department, Hospital de la Santa Creu I Sant Pau, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Biomedical Research Institute IIB-Sant Pau, CIBER-CV, Barcelona, Spain.
Heli TolppanenCardiology, University of Helsinki and Heart and Lung Centre, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Anu KatajaDivision of Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine and Services, Helsinki University Hospital, PO Box 900, Helsinki, 00029 HUS, Finland.
Toni JänttiCardiology, University of Helsinki and Heart and Lung Centre, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Tuija SabellCardiology, University of Helsinki and Heart and Lung Centre, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Matias Greve LindholmDepartment of Cardiology, Zealand University Hospital, Roskilde, Denmark.
Marek BanaszewskiIntensive Cardiac Therapy Clinic, National Institute of Cardiology, Warsaw, Poland.
Jose Silva CardosoCINTESIS-Center for Health Technology and Services Research, Department of Cardiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Porto, São João University Medical Centre, Porto, Portugal.
John ParissisER and Heart Failure Unit, Attikon University Hospital, Athens, Greece.
Salvatore Di SommaDepartment of Medical Surgery, Sciences and Translational Medicine, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy.
Valentina CarubelliCardiology Division, Department of Medical and Surgical Specialties, Radiological Sciences, and Public Health, University and Civil Hospital of Brescia, Brescia, Italy.
Raija JurkkoCardiology, University of Helsinki and Heart and Lung Centre, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Josep MasipCritical Care Department, Hospital Sant Joan Despi Moisès Broggi, Consorci Sanitari Integral, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Veli-Pekka HarjolaDivision of Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine and Services, Helsinki University Hospital, PO Box 900, Helsinki, 00029 HUS, Finland.
CardShock Study Investigators and the GREAT Network
Helsinki University Hospital · FIUniversity of Helsinki · FICentro de Investigación en Red en Enfermedades Cardiovasculares · ESHospital District of Helsinki and Uusimaa · FIHospital de Sant Joan Despí Moisès Broggi · ESInstitute of Cardiology · PLSapienza University of Rome · ITSurgical Specialties (Canada) · CAUniversidade do Porto · PTUniversity General Hospital Attikon · GRZealand University Hospital · DK

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsThis study aimed to assess the utility of contemporary clinical risk scores and explore the ability of two biomarkers [growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) and soluble ST2 (sST2)] to improve risk prediction in elderly patients with cardiogenic shock. METHODS AND

resultsPatients (n = 219) from the multicentre CardShock study were grouped according to age (elderly ≥75 years and younger). Characteristics, management, and outcome between the groups were compared. The ability of the CardShock risk score and the IABP-SHOCK II score to predict in-hospital mortality and the additional value of GDF-15 and sST2 to improve risk prediction in the elderly was evaluated. The elderly constituted 26% of the patients (n = 56), with a higher proportion of women (41% vs. 21%, P < 0.05) and more co-morbidities compared with the younger. The primary aetiology of shock in the elderly was acute coronary syndrome (84%), with high rates of percutaneous coronary intervention (87%). Compared with the younger, the elderly had higher in-hospital mortality (46% vs. 33%; P = 0.08), but 1 year post-discharge survival was excellent in both age groups (90% in the elderly vs. 88% in the younger). In the elderly, the risk prediction models demonstrated an area under the curve of 0.75 for the CardShock risk score and 0.71 for the IABP-SHOCK II score. Incorporating GDF-15 and sST2 improved discrimination for both risk scores with areas under the curve ranging from 0.78 to 0.84.

conclusionsElderly patients with cardiogenic shock have higher in-hospital mortality compared with the younger, but post-discharge outcomes are similar. Contemporary risk scores proved useful for early mortality risk prediction also in the elderly, and risk stratification could be further improved with biomarkers such as GDF-15 or sST2.

Indexed as

Acute Coronary SyndromePercutaneous Coronary InterventionAftercareAgedFemaleHumansPatient DischargeShock, CardiogenicBiomarkerCardiogenic shockElderlyGDF-15Risk predictionsST2

Identifiers

PMID33522124
PMCPMC8006692
OpenAlexW3126391114

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.