Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33520622›Full record

ArticleResults in physics2021

Fractal-fractional mathematical modeling and forecasting of new cases and deaths of COVID-19 epidemic outbreaks in India.

Mansour A Abdulwasaa, Mohammed S Abdo, Kamal Shah, Taher A Nofal, Satish K Panchal, Sunil V Kawale, Abdel-Haleem Abdel-Aty

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Article in Results in physics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

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16citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Mansour A AbdulwasaaDepartment of Statistics, Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar Marathwada University, Aurangabad, (M.S), India.
Mohammed S AbdoDepartment of Mathematics, Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar Marathwada University, Aurangabad, (M.S), India.
Kamal ShahDepartment of Mathematics, University of Malakand, Chakdara Dir(Lower), Khyber Pakhtunkhawa, Pakistan.
Taher A NofalDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, College of Science, Taif University, P.O. Box 11099, Taif 21944, Saudi Arabia.
Satish K PanchalDepartment of Mathematics, Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar Marathwada University, Aurangabad, (M.S), India.
Sunil V KawaleDepartment of Statistics, Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar Marathwada University, Aurangabad, (M.S), India.
Abdel-Haleem Abdel-AtyDepartment of Physics, College of Sciences, University of Bisha, P.O. Box 344, Bisha 61922, Saudi Arabia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Fractional-order derivative-based modeling is very significant to describe real-world problems with forecasting and analyze the realistic situation of the proposed model. The aim of this work is to predict future trends in the behavior of the COVID-19 epidemic of confirmed cases and deaths in India for October 2020, using the expert modeler model and statistical analysis programs (SPSS version 23 & Eviews version 9). We also generalize a mathematical model based on a fractal fractional operator to investigate the existing outbreak of this disease. Our model describes the diverse transmission passages in the infection dynamics and affirms the role of the environmental reservoir in the transmission and outbreak of this disease. We give an itemized analysis of the proposed model including, the equilibrium points analysis, reproductive number

Indexed as

26A3334A0835B40COVID-2019Fixed point techniqueForecastingFractal-fractional derivativesFractional Adams Bashforth methodSPSS program and Expert Modeler Method

Identifiers

PMID33520622
PMCPMC7834771

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.