Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33519128›Full record

ArticleTransportation research. Part C, Emerging technologies2021

Modeling epidemic spreading through public transit using time-varying encounter network.

Baichuan Mo, Kairui Feng, Yu Shen, Clarence Tam, Daqing Li, Yafeng Yin, Jinhua Zhao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Transportation research. Part C, Emerging technologies, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Effects of official information and rumor on resource-epidemic coevolution dynamics.Journal of King Saud University. Computer and information sciences · 2022
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Managing public transit during a pandemic: The trade-off between safety and mobility.Transportation research. Part C, Emerging technologies · 2022
    Article
  16. Article
  17. A knowledge graph-based method for epidemic contact tracing in public transportation.Transportation research. Part C, Emerging technologies · 2022
    Article
  18. Impact of mobility on COVID-19 spread - A time series analysis.Transportation research interdisciplinary perspectives · 2022
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Baichuan MoDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States.
Kairui FengDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, United States.
Yu ShenKey Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of the Ministry of Education, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China.
Clarence TamSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore 117549, Singapore.
Daqing LiSchool of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China.
Yafeng YinDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48108, United States.
Jinhua ZhaoDepartment of Urban Studies and Planning, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Passenger contact in public transit (PT) networks can be a key mediate in the spreading of infectious diseases. This paper proposes a time-varying weighted PT encounter network to model the spreading of infectious diseases through the PT systems. Social activity contacts at both local and global levels are also considered. We select the epidemiological characteristics of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) as a case study along with smart card data from Singapore to illustrate the model at the metropolitan level. A scalable and lightweight theoretical framework is derived to capture the time-varying and heterogeneous network structures, which enables to solve the problem at the whole population level with low computational costs. Different control policies from both the public health side and the transportation side are evaluated. We find that people's preventative behavior is one of the most effective measures to control the spreading of epidemics. From the transportation side, partial closure of bus routes helps to slow down but cannot fully contain the spreading of epidemics. Identifying "influential passengers" using the smart card data and isolating them at an early stage can also effectively reduce the epidemic spreading.

Indexed as

COVID-19EpidemicsPublic transit encounterTime-varying complex network

Identifiers

PMID33519128
PMCPMC7832029

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.