Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33515071›Full record

Observational studyDiabetologia2021

Retinal venular tortuosity and fractal dimension predict incident retinopathy in adults with type 2 diabetes: the Edinburgh Type 2 Diabetes Study.

Rachel B Forster, Emmanuel Sandoval Garcia, Anniek J Sluiman, Sheila M Grecian, Stela McLachlan, Tom J MacGillivray, Mark W J Strachan, Jackie F Price, Edinburgh Type 2 Diabetes Study (ET2DS) investigators

Open access · hybridAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Diabetologia, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.9field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 40 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Rachel B ForsterUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. rbedenis@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7952-3570
Emmanuel Sandoval GarciaUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4418-7888
Anniek J SluimanUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Sheila M GrecianUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1600-559X
Stela McLachlanUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0480-6143
Tom J MacGillivrayCentre for Clinical Brain Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5120-0086
Mark W J StrachanMetabolic Unit, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.
Jackie F PriceUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. Jackie.Price@ed.ac.uk.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3251-3970
Edinburgh Type 2 Diabetes Study (ET2DS) investigators
University of Edinburgh · GBWestern General Hospital · GB

Funding

Chief Scientist Office CZQ/1/38Medical Research Council G0500877Medical Research Council MC_PC_15027
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisOur aim was to determine whether a range of prespecified retinal vessel traits were associated with incident diabetic retinopathy in adults with type 2 diabetes.

methodsIn the prospective observational cohort Edinburgh Type 2 Diabetes Study of 1066 adults with type 2 diabetes, aged 60-75 years at recruitment, 718 were free from diabetic retinopathy at baseline. Baseline retinal traits including vessel widths, tortuosity (curvature) and fractal dimensions (network complexity), were quantified using fundus camera images and semiautomated software, and analysed using logistic regression for their association with incident diabetic retinopathy over 10 years.

resultsThe incidence of diabetic retinopathy was 11.4% (n = 82) over 10 years. After adjustment for a range of vascular and diabetes-related risk factors, both increased venular tortuosity (OR 1.51; 95% CI 1.15, 1.98; p = 0.003) and decreased fractal dimension (OR 0.75; 95% CI 0.58, 0.96; p = 0.025) were associated with incident retinopathy. There was no evidence of an association with arterial tortuosity, and associations between measurements of vessel widths and retinopathy lost statistical significance after adjustment for diabetes-related factors and vascular disease. Adding venular tortuosity to a model including established risk factors for diabetic retinopathy (HbA CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationIncreased retinal venular tortuosity and decreased fractal dimension are associated with incident diabetic retinopathy, independent of classical risk factors. There is some evidence that venular tortuosity may be a useful biomarker to improve the predictive ability of models based on established retinopathy risk factors, and its inclusion in further risk prediction modelling is warranted.

Indexed as

AdultAgedDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Diabetic RetinopathyDiagnostic Techniques, OphthalmologicalDisease ProgressionFemaleFractalsHumansImage Processing, Computer-AssistedIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetinal DiseasesRetinal VesselsDiabetic retinopathyDigital retinal imagingEpidemiologyLogistic regressionMicrovascular diseasePrediction modellingProspective cohortRetinal vessel traitsType 2 diabetesVascular complications

Identifiers

PMID33515071
PMCPMC8012328
OpenAlexW3122360683

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.