Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33514711›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Deep convolutional neural networks to predict cardiovascular risk from computed tomography.

Roman Zeleznik, Borek Foldyna, Parastou Eslami, Jakob Weiss, Ivanov Alexander, Jana Taron, Chintan Parmar, Raza M Alvi, Dahlia Banerji, Mio Uno and 13 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 106 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
106citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

106 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  16. Vision Foundry: A System for Training Foundational Vision AI Models.AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science proceedings. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science · 2026
    Article
  17. A Framework for Cross-Domain Generalization in Coronary Artery Calcium Scoring Across Gated and Non-Gated Computed Tomography.AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science proceedings. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science · 2026
    Article
  18. Review
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46 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Roman ZeleznikArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (AIM) Program, Mass General Brigham, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2433-9151
Borek FoldynaArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (AIM) Program, Mass General Brigham, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Parastou EslamiCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Jakob WeissArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (AIM) Program, Mass General Brigham, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Ivanov AlexanderCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Jana TaronCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Chintan ParmarArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (AIM) Program, Mass General Brigham, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2140-814X
Raza M AlviCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Dahlia BanerjiCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Mio UnoCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Yasuka KikuchiCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Julia KaradyCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Lili ZhangCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Jan-Erik ScholtzCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Thomas MayrhoferCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6287-5185
Asya LyassDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.
Taylor F MahoneyDepartment of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5930-5672
Joseph M MassaroDepartment of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Ramachandran S VasanNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and Boston University, Framingham Heart Study, Framingham, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7357-5970
Pamela S DouglasDepartment of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Duke University School of Medicine, Duke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC, USA.
Udo HoffmannArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (AIM) Program, Mass General Brigham, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Michael T LuArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (AIM) Program, Mass General Brigham, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4696-9610
Hugo J W L AertsArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (AIM) Program, Mass General Brigham, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. haerts@bwh.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-2122-2003

Funding

FRAMINGHAM HEART STUDY - YEAR 5 EXAM75N92019D00031 · NHLBI · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · 2019 to 2024
$29.8M
The Boston Lung Cancer Survival CohortU01CA209414 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI David C Christiani · 2017 to 2026
$12.2M
REPRIEVE - DCCU01HL123339 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI LU, MICHAEL TSE-YIN, RIBAUDO, HEATHER JANE · 2014 to 2019
$6.0M
Cardiac MR and CT ResearchT32HL076136 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI NEILAN, TOMAS G · 2004 to 2019
$4.9M
Quantitative Radiomics System Decoding the Tumor PhenotypeU24CA194354 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI AERTS, HUGO, QUACKENBUSH, JOHN · 2015 to 2019
$3.5M
Genotype and Imaging Phenotype Biomarkers in Lung CancerU01CA190234 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI AERTS, HUGO, QUACKENBUSH, JOHN · 2015 to 2019
$3.3M
PROMISE Trial: Substudy to Assess for Effective Dose of RadiationR01HL109711 · NHLBI · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI EINSTEIN, ANDREW · 2011 to 2015
$2.5M
Cardiovascular Imaging in Ischemic Heart DiseaseK24HL113128 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI HOFFMANN, UDO · 2012 to 2020
$1.1M
THE FRAMINGHAM HEART STUDY-N01HC25195-268025195-268025195N01HC025195 · HC · TRUSTEES OF BOSTON UNIVERSITY · PI WOLF, PHILIP A · 2002 to 2006
–
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA190234NCI NIH HHS U01 CA209414NCI NIH HHS U24 CA194354NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92019D00031NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500001CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500001INHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL113128NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC025195NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL109711NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL076136NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL123339
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Coronary artery calcium is an accurate predictor of cardiovascular events. While it is visible on all computed tomography (CT) scans of the chest, this information is not routinely quantified as it requires expertise, time, and specialized equipment. Here, we show a robust and time-efficient deep learning system to automatically quantify coronary calcium on routine cardiac-gated and non-gated CT. As we evaluate in 20,084 individuals from distinct asymptomatic (Framingham Heart Study, NLST) and stable and acute chest pain (PROMISE, ROMICAT-II) cohorts, the automated score is a strong predictor of cardiovascular events, independent of risk factors (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios up to 4.3), shows high correlation with manual quantification, and robust test-retest reliability. Our results demonstrate the clinical value of a deep learning system for the automated prediction of cardiovascular events. Implementation into clinical practice would address the unmet need of automating proven imaging biomarkers to guide management and improve population health.

Indexed as

Deep LearningAgedAsymptomatic DiseasesCalciumCardiovascular DiseasesChest PainCoronary VesselsFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHeart Disease Risk FactorsHumansImage Processing, Computer-AssistedMaleMiddle AgedReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesCalcium

Identifiers

PMID33514711
PMCPMC7846726

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.