ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2021
Projected HIV and Bacterial Sexually Transmitted Infection Incidence Following COVID-19-Related Sexual Distancing and Clinical Service Interruption.
Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 55 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
55 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Prospects of HIV elimination among men who have sex with men: A systematic review of modeling studies.PLoS computational biology · 2026Pooled it
- A Review of Network Models for HIV Spread.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025Pooled it
- Potential Risks and Benefits of Low-Barrier Access and Monitoring for HIV Preexposure Prophylaxis: A Modeling Study.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Seek and you shall find! Prevalence and trends of chlamydial and gonococcal infections in a high-density urban area in Italy around the COVID era: a laboratory-based survey.Sexually transmitted infections · 2026Article
- Decreased chlamydia notifications in six European Union/European Economic Area countries and England, 2024.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026Article
- Changing epidemiology of reproductive tract infections in Western China: a three-phase retrospective study during the COVID-19 pandemic.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- COVID-19-Related Diminished Peer HIV Communication Intentions Among Sexual and Gender Expansive Individuals in Kazakhstan.Health education & behavior : the official publication of the Society for Public Health Education · 2026Article
- Evaluating the impact of COVID-19 on the HIV epidemic among MSM in Australia.AIDS (London, England) · 2025Article
- Trends in Syphilis Case Rates Among Women of Reproductive Age-United States, 2013 to 2022.Sexually transmitted diseases · 2025Article
- The future of HIV: challenges in meeting the 2030 Ending the HIV Epidemic in the US (EHE) reduction goal.AIDS (London, England) · 2025Article
- The Future of HIV: Challenges in meeting the 2030medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
- Rate estimation and trend analysis of new HIV infections among the international migrant population in Chile from 2013 to 2022.Journal of migration and health · 2025Article
- Article
- Prevalence of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) among first time visitors at STIs clinic in Hangzhou, China: Assessing the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic.Immunity, inflammation and disease · 2024Article
- The Fading of the Mpox Outbreak Among Men Who Have Sex With Men: A Mathematical Modelling Study.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Impact of COVID-19 on Profession and Health of Female Sex Workers: Apprehension, Acquiescence, and Resilience.Archives of sexual behavior · 2024Article
- Article
- Projecting the Clinical and Economic Impacts of Changes to HIV Care Among Adolescents and Young Adults in the United States: Lessons From the COVID-19 Pandemic.Journal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society · 2024Article
- Modelling HIV/AIDS epidemiological complexity: A scoping review of Agent-Based Models and their application.PloS one · 2024Article
- Prevalence and circulant genotypes of Chlamydia trachomatis in university women from cities in the Brazilian Amazon.PloS one · 2024Article
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Abstract
backgroundThe global COVID-19 pandemic has the potential to indirectly impact transmission dynamics and prevention of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections (STI). It is unknown what combined impact reductions in sexual activity and interruptions in HIV/STI services will have on HIV/STI epidemic trajectories.
methodsWe adapted a model of HIV, gonorrhea, and chlamydia for a population of approximately 103 000 men who have sex with men (MSM) in the Atlanta area. Model scenarios varied the timing, overlap, and relative extent of COVID-19-related sexual distancing and service interruption within 4 service categories (HIV screening, preexposure prophylaxis, antiretroviral therapy, and STI treatment).
resultsA 50% relative decrease in sexual partnerships and interruption of all clinical services, both lasting 18 months, would generally offset each other for HIV (total 5-year population impact for Atlanta MSM, -227 cases), but have net protective effect for STIs (-23 800 cases). If distancing lasted only 3 months but service interruption lasted 18 months, the total 5-year population impact would be an additional 890 HIV cases and 57 500 STI cases.
conclusionsImmediate action to limit the impact of service interruptions is needed to address the indirect effects of the global COVID-19 pandemic on the HIV/STI epidemic.
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