Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33504258›Full record

ArticleMedical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making2021

Adaptive Policies to Balance Health Benefits and Economic Costs of Physical Distancing Interventions during the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Reza Yaesoubi, Joshua Havumaki, Melanie H Chitwood, Nicolas A Menzies, Gregg Gonsalves, Joshua A Salomon, A David Paltiel, Ted Cohen

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Adaptive metrics for an evolving pandemic: A dynamic approach to area-level COVID-19 risk designations.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Optimization in the Context of COVID-19 Prediction and Control: A Literature Review.IEEE access : practical innovations, open solutions · 2021
    Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Reza YaesoubiDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9276-5750
Joshua HavumakiDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Melanie H ChitwoodDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Nicolas A MenziesDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Gregg GonsalvesDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5789-9841
Joshua A SalomonDepartment of Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, USA.
A David PaltielDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Ted CohenDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Yale University · USHarvard Global Health Institute · USStanford University · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Making Better Decisions: Policy Modeling for AIDS and Drug AbuseR37DA015612 · NIDA · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI DOUGLAS K OWENS · 2019 to 2026
$6.3M
Optimal targeting for individual and population-level TB preventionR01AI146555 · NIAID · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI MENZIES, NICOLAS A · 2020 to 2024
$2.5M
Novel, Adaptive Approaches to Predicting and Responding to Outbreaks of Overdose, HIV and HCV Among People Who Use DrugsDP2DA049282 · NIDA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GONSALVES, GREGG STEVEN · 2019 to 2019
$2.5M
Evaluating health and economic effects of targeted strategies in TB/HIVR01AI112438 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI COHEN, THEODORE H, SALOMON, JOSHUA A · 2014 to 2017
$2.4M
Improving the control of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis through targeted screening and use of novel anti-tuberculosis drugsK01AI119603 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI YAESOUBI, REZA · 2016 to 2019
$518k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI119603NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI112438NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI146555NIDA NIH HHS DP2 DA049282NIDA NIH HHS R37 DA015612
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Policy makers need decision tools to determine when to use physical distancing interventions to maximize the control of COVID-19 while minimizing the economic and social costs of these interventions. We describe a pragmatic decision tool to characterize adaptive policies that combine real-time surveillance data with clear decision rules to guide when to trigger, continue, or stop physical distancing interventions during the current pandemic. In model-based experiments, we find that adaptive policies characterized by our proposed approach prevent more deaths and require a shorter overall duration of physical distancing than alternative physical distancing policies. Our proposed approach can readily be extended to more complex models and interventions.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisDecision Support TechniquesPandemicsPhysical DistancingPolicyPolicy MakingCosts and Cost AnalysisCOVID-19Decision MakingHumansModels, TheoreticalSARS-CoV-2adaptive decision makingCOVID-19net monetary benefitphysical distancingstochastic approximation

Identifiers

PMID33504258
PMCPMC8084913
OpenAlexW3125640795

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.