Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33499782›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2021

A biologist's guide to model selection and causal inference.

Zachary M Laubach, Eleanor J Murray, Kim L Hoke, Rebecca J Safran, Wei Perng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 54 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
54citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

54 citing papers in PubMed.

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  12. Toward New Directions in Human Biology: A Roadmap for Anthropological Causal Inference With Observational Data.American journal of human biology : the official journal of the Human Biology Council · 2025
    Article
  13. Article
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  18. Causal drivers of mosquito abundance in urban informal settlements.Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2025
    Article
  19. Review
  20. Experience sampling method studies in physical activity research: the relevance of causal reasoning.The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Zachary M LaubachDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA.
Eleanor J MurrayDepartment of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Kim L HokeDepartment of Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
Rebecca J SafranDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA.
Wei PerngDepartment of Epidemiology, Lifecourse Epidemiology of Adiposity and Diabetes (LEAD) Center, University of Colorado Denver Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO, USA.

Funding

Institutional Career Development CoreKL2TR002534 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI BURNHAM, ELLEN L · 2018 to 2022
$4.6M
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR002534
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A goal of many research programmes in biology is to extract meaningful insights from large, complex datasets. Researchers in ecology, evolution and behavior (EEB) often grapple with long-term, observational datasets from which they construct models to test causal hypotheses about biological processes. Similarly, epidemiologists analyse large, complex observational datasets to understand the distribution and determinants of human health. A key difference in the analytical workflows for these two distinct areas of biology is the delineation of data analysis tasks and explicit use of causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), widely adopted by epidemiologists. Here, we review the most recent causal inference literature and describe an analytical workflow that has direct applications for EEB. We start this commentary by defining four distinct analytical tasks (description, prediction, association, causal inference). The remainder of the text is dedicated to causal inference, specifically focusing on the use of DAGs to inform the modelling strategy. Given the increasing interest in causal inference and misperceptions regarding this task, we seek to facilitate an exchange of ideas between disciplinary silos and provide an analytical framework that is particularly relevant for making causal inference from observational data.

Indexed as

Confounding Factors, EpidemiologicCausalityData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansassociationcausal inferencedescriptiondirected acyclic graphsepidemiologyprediction

Identifiers

PMID33499782
PMCPMC7893255

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.