Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33498915›Full record

SynthesisInternational journal of environmental research and public health2021

Bayesian Approaches for Confirmatory Trials in Rare Diseases: Opportunities and Challenges.

Moreno Ursino, Nigel Stallard

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisReview
In one paragraph

Synthesis in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Targeted therapy for rare lung cancers: Status, challenges, and prospects.Molecular therapy : the journal of the American Society of Gene Therapy · 2023
    Review
  5. Review
  6. New prospectives on treatment opportunities in RASopathies.American journal of medical genetics. Part C, Seminars in medical genetics · 2022
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Moreno UrsinoInserm, Centre de Recherche des Cordeliers, Sorbonne Université, USPC, Université de Paris, F-75006 Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-5709-4322
Nigel StallardStatistics and Epidemiology, Division of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7781-1512

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The aim of this narrative review is to introduce the reader to Bayesian methods that, in our opinion, appear to be the most important in the context of rare diseases. A disease is defined as rare depending on the prevalence of the affected patients in the considered population, for example, about 1 in 1500 people in U.S.; about 1 in 2500 people in Japan; and fewer than 1 in 2000 people in Europe. There are between 6000 and 8000 rare diseases and the main issue in drug development is linked to the challenge of achieving robust evidence from clinical trials in small populations. A better use of all available information can help the development process and Bayesian statistics can provide a solid framework at the design stage, during the conduct of the trial, and at the analysis stage. The focus of this manuscript is to provide a review of Bayesian methods for sample size computation or reassessment during phase II or phase III trial, for response adaptive randomization and of for meta-analysis in rare disease. Challenges regarding prior distribution choice, computational burden and dissemination are also discussed.

Indexed as

Rare DiseasesResearch DesignBayes TheoremEuropeHumansJapanBayesianmeta-analysisprior distributionrare diseasesample size

Identifiers

PMID33498915
PMCPMC7908592

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.