Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33495286›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2021

"In cities, it's not far, but it takes long": comparing estimated and replicated travel times to reach life-saving obstetric care in Lagos, Nigeria.

Aduragbemi Banke-Thomas, Kerry L M Wong, Francis Ifeanyi Ayomoh, Rokibat Olabisi Giwa-Ayedun, Lenka Benova

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Multistakeholder perspectives on geographical accessibility to emergency obstetric care in Benin City, Nigeria.African journal of emergency medicine : Revue africaine de la medecine d'urgence · 2026
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  14. Trends and Inequalities in Maternal and Newborn Health Services for Unplanned Settlements of Lusaka City, Zambia.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Aduragbemi Banke-ThomasLSE Health, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK a.banke-thomas@lse.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-4449-0131
Kerry L M WongInfectious Disease and Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4400-2257
Francis Ifeanyi AyomohDepartment of Health Planning, Research and Statistics, Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja, Nigeria.
Rokibat Olabisi Giwa-AyedunMaternal and Child Centre, Ifako Ijaiye General Hospital, Lagos, Nigeria.
Lenka BenovaDepartment of Public Health, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerpen, Belgium.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTravel time to comprehensive emergency obstetric care (CEmOC) facilities in low-resource settings is commonly estimated using modelling approaches. Our objective was to derive and compare estimates of travel time to reach CEmOC in an African megacity using models and web-based platforms against actual replication of travel.

methodsWe extracted data from patient files of all 732 pregnant women who presented in emergency in the four publicly owned tertiary CEmOC facilities in Lagos, Nigeria, between August 2018 and August 2019. For a systematically selected subsample of 385, we estimated travel time from their homes to the facility using the cost-friction surface approach, Open Source Routing Machine (OSRM) and Google Maps, and compared them to travel time by two independent drivers replicating women's journeys. We estimated the percentage of women who reached the facilities within 60 and 120 min.

resultsThe median travel time for 385 women from the cost-friction surface approach, OSRM and Google Maps was 5, 11 and 40 min, respectively. The median actual drive time was 50-52 min. The mean errors were >45 min for the cost-friction surface approach and OSRM, and 14 min for Google Maps. The smallest differences between replicated and estimated travel times were seen for night-time journeys at weekends; largest errors were found for night-time journeys at weekdays and journeys above 120 min. Modelled estimates indicated that all participants were within 60 min of the destination CEmOC facility, yet journey replication showed that only 57% were, and 92% were within 120 min.

conclusionsExisting modelling methods underestimate actual travel time in low-resource megacities. Significant gaps in geographical access to life-saving health services like CEmOC must be urgently addressed, including in urban areas. Leveraging tools that generate 'closer-to-reality' estimates will be vital for service planning if universal health coverage targets are to be realised by 2030.

Indexed as

Emergency Medical ServicesHealth Services AccessibilityCitiesFemaleHumansNigeriaPregnancyTravelgeographic information systemsmaternal healthobstetricsother study design

Identifiers

PMID33495286
PMCPMC7839900

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.