Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33495264›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2021

Prediction of disease severity in young children presenting with acute febrile illness in resource-limited settings: a protocol for a prospective observational study.

Arjun Chandna, Endashaw M Aderie, Riris Ahmad, Eggi Arguni, Elizabeth A Ashley, Tanya Cope, Vu Quoc Dat, Nicholas P J Day, Arjen M Dondorp, Victor Illanes and 23 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04285021 (Prediction of Disease Severity in Young Children Presenting With Acute Febrile Illness in Resource-limited Settings), which is not on this map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04285021 completednot on this map

Prediction of Disease Severity in Young Children Presenting With Acute Febrile Illness in Resource-limited Settings

TypeobservationalSponsorMedecins Sans Frontieres, SpainRan2020 to 2022Enrolled3,433ConditionsSepsis
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

33 authors at 12 institutions in 12 countries.

Arjun ChandnaAngkor Hospital for Children, Cambodia Oxford Medical Research Unit, Siem Reap, Cambodia arjun@tropmedres.ac arjunchandna@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0003-1313-7922
Endashaw M AderieMédecins Sans Frontières Operational Centre Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Riris AhmadCentre for Tropical Medicine, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, Daerah Istimewa Yogyakart, Indonesia.
Eggi ArguniCentre for Tropical Medicine, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, Daerah Istimewa Yogyakart, Indonesia.
Elizabeth A AshleyCentre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK.
Tanya CopeFaculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Bangkok, Thailand.
Vu Quoc DatHanoi Medical University, Hanoi, Viet Nam.ORCID 0000-0002-5904-5970
Nicholas P J DayCentre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK.
Arjen M DondorpCentre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK.
Victor IllanesMédecins Sans Frontières Operational Centre Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Joanne De JesusClinical Trials, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Muntinlupa City, Philippines.
Carolina JimenezMédecins Sans Frontières Operational Centre Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Kevin KainLaboratory Medicine & Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Keang SuyAngkor Hospital for Children, Cambodia Oxford Medical Research Unit, Siem Reap, Cambodia.
Constantinos KoshiarisDepartment of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Estrella LasryMédecins Sans Frontières Operational Centre Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Mayfong MayxayMicrobiology Department, Lao-Oxford-Mahosot Hospital-Wellcome Trust Research Unit, Vientiane, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic.
Dinesh MondalCentre for Nutrition and Food Security (CNFS), icddr,b, Dhaka, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Rafael PereraDepartment of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2418-2091
Tiengkham PongvongsaMicrobiology Department, Lao-Oxford-Mahosot Hospital-Wellcome Trust Research Unit, Vientiane, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic.
Sayaphet RattanavongMicrobiology Department, Lao-Oxford-Mahosot Hospital-Wellcome Trust Research Unit, Vientiane, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic.
Michael RekartMédecins Sans Frontières Operational Centre Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Melissa Richard-GreenblattUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Mohammad ShomikCentre for Nutrition and Food Security (CNFS), icddr,b, Dhaka, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Phouthalavanh SouvannasingSalavan Provincial Hospital, Salavan, Lao People's Democratic Republic.
Veronica TalloClinical Trials, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Muntinlupa City, Philippines.
Claudia TurnerCentre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK.
Paul TurnerAngkor Hospital for Children, Cambodia Oxford Medical Research Unit, Siem Reap, Cambodia.
Naomi WaithiraFaculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Bangkok, Thailand.
James A WatsonFaculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Bangkok, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0001-5524-0325
Mikhael YosiaMédecins Sans Frontières Operational Centre Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Sakib Burza *Médecins Sans Frontières Operational Centre Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-3410-8541
Yoel Lubell *Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK.
Médecins Sans Frontières · ESUniversity of Oxford · GBAngkor Hospital for Children · KHMahosot Hospital · LAMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit · THInternational Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research · BDResearch Institute for Tropical Medicine · PHUniversitas Gadjah Mada · IDHanoi Medical University · VNSalem Hospital · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · USUniversity of Toronto · CA

Funding

Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 219644/Z/19/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionIn rural and difficult-to-access settings, early and accurate recognition of febrile children at risk of progressing to serious illness could contribute to improved patient outcomes and better resource allocation. This study aims to develop a prognostic clinical prediction tool to assist community healthcare providers identify febrile children who might benefit from referral or admission for facility-based medical care. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This prospective observational study will recruit at least 4900 paediatric inpatients and outpatients under the age of 5 years presenting with an acute febrile illness to seven hospitals in six countries across Asia. A venous blood sample and nasopharyngeal swab is collected from each participant and detailed clinical data recorded at presentation, and each day for the first 48 hours of admission for inpatients. Multianalyte assays are performed at reference laboratories to measure a panel of host biomarkers, as well as targeted aetiological investigations for common bacterial and viral pathogens. Clinical outcome is ascertained on day 2 and day 28.Presenting syndromes, clinical outcomes and aetiology of acute febrile illness will be described and compared across sites. Following the latest guidance in prediction model building, a prognostic clinical prediction model, combining simple clinical features and measurements of host biomarkers, will be derived and geographically externally validated. The performance of the model will be evaluated in specific presenting clinical syndromes and fever aetiologies. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study has received approval from all relevant international, national and institutional ethics committees. Written informed consent is provided by the caretaker of all participants. Results will be shared with local and national stakeholders, and disseminated via peer-reviewed open-access journals and scientific meetings. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04285021.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAsiaChildChild, PreschoolHumansObservational Studies as TopicPrognosisProspective StudiesSeverity of Illness Indexinfectious diseasespaediatricsprimary carepublic health

Identifiers

PMID33495264
PMCPMC7839891
OpenAlexW3126054731

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.