ArticleRoyal Society open science2020
SI epidemic model applied to COVID-19 data in mainland China.
Article in Royal Society open science, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.
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Who cites it
25 citing papers in PubMed.
- The work of Pierre Magal on differential equations, functional analysis and mathematical biology.Journal of mathematical biology · 2025Article
- Critical node detection in temporal social networks, based on global and semi-local centrality measures.PloS one · 2025Article
- An Epidemic Model with Infection Age and Vaccination Age Structure.Infectious disease reports · 2024Article
- Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible type COVID-19 spread with collective effects.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Novel Approach for Identification of Basic and Effective Reproduction Numbers Illustrated with COVID-19.Viruses · 2023Article
- Mathematical analysis of the impact of the media coverage in mitigating the outbreak of COVID-19.Mathematics and computers in simulation · 2023Article
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- Time-dependent force of infection and effective reproduction ratio in an age-structure dengue transmission model in Bandung City, Indonesia.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2022Article
- Maximal reproduction number estimation and identification of transmission rate from the first inflection point of new infectious cases waves: COVID-19 outbreak example.Mathematics and computers in simulation · 2022Article
- Age Dependent Epidemic Modeling of COVID-19 Outbreak in Kuwait, France, and Cameroon.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Simulation of COVID-19 spread through family feast gatherings in a complex network.Epidemiology and infection · 2022Article
- Inverse problem for adaptive SIR model: Application to COVID-19 in Latin America.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2022Article
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- Complex Contact Network of Patients at the Beginning of an Epidemic Outbreak: An Analysis Based on 1218 COVID-19 Cases in China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Necessity of Social Distancing in Pandemic Control: A Dynamic Game Theory Approach.Dynamic games and applications · 2022Article
- Socioeconomic and environmental patterns behind H1N1 spreading in Sweden.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Modelling and forecasting of growth rate of new COVID-19 cases in top nine affected countries: Considering conditional variance and asymmetric effect.Chaos, solitons, and fractals · 2021Article
- A simple method to describe the COVID-19 trajectory and dynamics in any country based on Johnson cumulative density function fitting.Scientific reports · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The article is devoted to the parameters identification in the SI model. We consider several methods, starting with an exponential fit to the early cumulative data of SARS-CoV2 in mainland China. The present methodology provides a way to compute the parameters at the early stage of the epidemic. Next, we establish an identifiability result. Then we use the Bernoulli-Verhulst model as a phenomenological model to fit the data and derive some results on the parameters identification. The last part of the paper is devoted to some numerical algorithms to fit a daily piecewise constant rate of transmission.
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