Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33488707›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of endocrinology2020

Development and Validation of a Nomogram to Predict Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Overweight and Obese Adults: A Prospective Cohort Study from 82938 Adults in China.

Qingqing Liu, Jie Yuan, Maerjiaen Bakeyi, Jie Li, Zilong Zhang, Xiaohong Yang, Fangming Gao

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of endocrinology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 24% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Qingqing LiuDepartment of Cardiology of People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China.
Jie YuanDepartment of Cardiology of People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China.
Maerjiaen BakeyiThe First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China.
Jie LiDepartment of Cardiology of People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China.
Zilong ZhangDepartment of Cardiology of People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China.
Xiaohong YangDepartment of Respiratory and Intensive Care Medicine of People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China.
Fangming GaoDepartment of Cardiology of People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8685-8889
People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region · CNXinjiang Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe twin epidemic of overweight/obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a major public health problem globally, especially in China. Overweight/obese adults commonly coexist with T2DM, which is closely related to adverse health outcomes. Therefore, this study aimed to develop risk nomogram of T2DM in Chinese adults with overweight/obesity.

methodsWe used prospective cohort study data for 82938 individuals aged ≥20 years free of T2DM collected between 2010 and 2016 and divided them into a training (

resultsSix independent risk factors of T2DM were identified and entered into the nomogram including age, body mass index, fasting plasma glucose, total cholesterol, triglycerides, and family history. The nomogram incorporating these six risk factors showed good discrimination regarding the training set, with a Harrell's concordance index (C-index) of 0.859 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.850-0.868] and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.862 (95% CI: 0.853-0.871). The calibration curves indicated well agreement between the probability as predicted by the nomogram and the actual probability. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the prediction nomogram was clinically useful. The consistent of findings was confirmed using the validation set.

conclusionsThe nomogram showed accurate prediction for T2DM among Chinese population with overweight and obese and might aid in assessment risk of T2DM.

Identifiers

PMID33488707
PMCPMC7775153
OpenAlexW3112867516

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.