Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33485005›Full record

Observational studyArchives of gerontology and geriatrics

Multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) predicts non-invasive ventilation failure in older adults with acute respiratory failure.

Carlo Custodero, Federica Gandolfo, Alberto Cella, Lisa A Cammalleri, Romina Custureri, Simone Dini, Rosetta Femia, Sara Garaboldi, Ilaria Indiano, Clarissa Musacchio and 5 more

Open access · greenAbstract readObservational Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Observational study in Archives of gerontology and geriatrics. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Observational
  10. Article
  11. [Pneumonia in old age].Der Pneumologe · 2021
    Review
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  13. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Carlo CustoderoDepartment of Interdisciplinary Medicine, University of Bari, Italy.
Federica GandolfoDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Alberto CellaDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Lisa A CammalleriDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Romina CustureriDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Simone DiniDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Rosetta FemiaDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Sara GaraboldiDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Ilaria IndianoDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Clarissa MusacchioDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Silvia PodestàDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Francesca TricerriDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Ambra PasaDepartment of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy.
Carlo SabbàDepartment of Interdisciplinary Medicine, University of Bari, Italy.
Alberto PilottoDepartment of Interdisciplinary Medicine, University of Bari, Italy; Department of Geriatric Care, Orthogeriatrics and Rehabilitation, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genova, Italy. Electronic address: alberto.pilotto@galliera.it.
Ente Ospedaliero Ospedali Galliera · ITUniversity of Bari Aldo Moro · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcute respiratory failure (ARF) is a very common complication among hospitalized older adults. Non-invasive ventilation (NIV) may avoid admission to intensive care units, intubation and their related complication, but still lacks specific indications in older adults. Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) based on comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) could have a role in defining the short-term prognosis and the best candidates for NIV among older adults with ARF.

methodsThis is a retrospective observational study which enrolled patients older than 70 years, consecutively admitted to an acute geriatric unit with ARF. A standardized CGA was used to calculate the MPI at admission. Multivariate Cox regression models were used to test if MPI score could predict in-hospital mortality and NIV failure. Receiver operator curve (ROC) analysis was used to identify the discriminatory power of MPI for NIV failure.

resultsWe enrolled 231 patients (88.2 ± 5.9 years, 47% females). Mean MPI at admission was 0.76±0.16. In-hospital mortality rate was 33.8%, with similar incidence in patients treated with and without NIV. Among NIV users (26.4%), NIV failure occurred in 39.3%. Higher MPI scores at admission significantly predicted in-hospital mortality (β=4.46, p<0.0001) among patients with ARF and NIV failure (β=7.82, p = 0.001) among NIV users. MPI showed good discriminatory power for NIV failure (area under the curve: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.58-0.85, p<0.001) with optimal cut-off at MPI value of 0.84.

conclusionsMPI at admission might be a useful tool to early detect patients more at risk of in-hospital death and NIV failure among older adults with ARF.

Indexed as

Noninvasive VentilationRespiratory Distress SyndromeRespiratory InsufficiencyAgedFemaleHospital MortalityHumansMalePrognosisAcute respiratory failureIn-hospital mortalityMPINon-invasive ventilationOlder adults

Identifiers

PMID33485005
OpenAlexW3117113433

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.