Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33484125›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2021

Reflection on modern methods: causal inference considerations for heterogeneous disease etiology.

Daniel Nevo, Shuji Ogino, Molin Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Causal inference for semi-competing risks data.Biostatistics (Oxford, England) · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Daniel NevoDepartment of Statistics and Operations Research, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.ORCID 0000-0002-9770-827X
Shuji OginoDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Molin WangDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.

Funding

Accelerating Transdisciplinary Epidemiology of Colorectal CancerR35CA197735 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI OGINO, SHUJI · 2015 to 2021
$6.0M
Integrating diet, lifestyle and tumor tissue molecular subtyping to study the role of adolescent calcium intake on the risk of early onset colorectal neoplasiaR21CA230873 · NCI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI OGINO, SHUJI, WU, KANA · 2018 to 2019
$427k
Cancer Research UKNCI NIH HHS R21 CA230873NCI NIH HHS R35 CA197735
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Molecular pathological epidemiology research provides information about pathogenic mechanisms. A common study goal is to evaluate whether the effects of risk factors on disease incidence vary between different disease subtypes. A popular approach to carrying out this type of research is to implement a multinomial regression in which each of the non-zero values corresponds to a bona fide disease subtype. Then, heterogeneity in the exposure effects across subtypes is examined by comparing the coefficients of the exposure between the different subtypes. In this paper, we explain why this common method potentially cannot recover causal effects, even when all confounders are measured, due to a particular type of selection bias. This bias can be explained by recognizing that the multinomial regression is equivalent to a series of logistic regressions; each compares cases of a certain subtype to the controls. We further explain how this bias arises using directed acyclic graphs and we demonstrate the potential magnitude of the bias by analysis of a hypothetical data set and by a simulation study.

Indexed as

Confounding Factors, EpidemiologicBiasCausalityHumansLogistic ModelsSelection BiasCausal inferenceetiologic heterogeneitymolecular pathological epidemiologyselection bias

Identifiers

PMID33484125
PMCPMC8485684

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.