Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33481802›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2021

Integrating human behavior and snake ecology with agent-based models to predict snakebite in high risk landscapes.

Eyal Goldstein, Joseph J Erinjery, Gerardo Martin, Anuradhani Kasturiratne, Dileepa Senajith Ediriweera, Hithanadura Janaka de Silva, Peter Diggle, David Griffith Lalloo, Kris A Murray, Takuya Iwamura

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.6field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 44 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A systematic review of variables associated with snakebite risk in spatial and temporal analyses.Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Utilising snake rescue data to understand snake-human conflict in Hooghly, West Bengal, India.Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Individual-Specific Animated Profiles of Mental Health.Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
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  9. Article
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  12. Review
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  17. Investigations on the Changes of Serum Proteins in Rabbits afterEvidence-based complementary and alternative medicine : eCAM · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 7 institutions in 6 countries.

Eyal GoldsteinSchool of Zoology, Department of Life Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.ORCID 0000-0002-1964-0919
Joseph J ErinjerySchool of Zoology, Department of Life Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.ORCID 0000-0002-5690-838X
Gerardo MartinMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3608-5328
Anuradhani KasturiratneDepartment of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Kelaniya, Kelaniya, Sri Lanka.ORCID 0000-0001-5260-2394
Dileepa Senajith EdiriweeraHealth Data Science Unit, Faculty of Medicine, University of Kelaniya, Kelaniya, Sri Lanka.ORCID 0000-0001-5679-2893
Hithanadura Janaka de SilvaDeparment of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Kelaniya, Ragama, Sri Lanka.
Peter DiggleCHICAS, Lancaster University Medical School, Lancaster, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3521-5020
David Griffith LallooLiverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7680-2200
Kris A MurrayMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8382-0674
Takuya IwamuraSchool of Zoology, Department of Life Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.ORCID 0000-0002-3740-7758
University of Kelaniya · LKTel Aviv University · ILImperial College London · GBJohns Hopkins University · USLiverpool School of Tropical Medicine · GBMRC Unit the Gambia · GMOregon State University · US

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/P024513/1Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Snakebite causes more than 1.8 million envenoming cases annually and is a major cause of death in the tropics especially for poor farmers. While both social and ecological factors influence the chance encounter between snakes and people, the spatio-temporal processes underlying snakebites remain poorly explored. Previous research has focused on statistical correlates between snakebites and ecological, sociological, or environmental factors, but the human and snake behavioral patterns that drive the spatio-temporal process have not yet been integrated into a single model. Here we use a bottom-up simulation approach using agent-based modelling (ABM) parameterized with datasets from Sri Lanka, a snakebite hotspot, to characterise the mechanisms of snakebite and identify risk factors. Spatio-temporal dynamics of snakebite risks are examined through the model incorporating six snake species and three farmer types (rice, tea, and rubber). We find that snakebites are mainly climatically driven, but the risks also depend on farmer types due to working schedules as well as species present in landscapes. Snake species are differentiated by both distribution and by habitat preference, and farmers are differentiated by working patterns that are climatically driven, and the combination of these factors leads to unique encounter rates for different landcover types as well as locations. Validation using epidemiological studies demonstrated that our model can explain observed patterns, including temporal patterns of snakebite incidence, and relative contribution of bites by each snake species. Our predictions can be used to generate hypotheses and inform future studies and decision makers. Additionally, our model is transferable to other locations with high snakebite burden as well.

Indexed as

EcologySystems AnalysisAnimalsDecision MakingEcosystemHumansIncidenceSnake BitesSnakesSri Lanka

Identifiers

PMID33481802
PMCPMC7857561
OpenAlexW3123094895

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.