ArticleScientific reports2021
Biting midge dynamics and bluetongue transmission: a multiscale model linking catch data with climate and disease outbreaks.
Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Re-parameterization of a mathematical model of African horse sickness virus using data from a systematic literature search.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2022Pooled it
- Review
- Preparation for a potential outbreak of bluetongue virus in Ireland: surveillance design to estimate local prevalence after an initial case detection.Irish veterinary journal · 2025Article
- Seroprevalence and associated risk factors of epizootic hemorrhagic disease virus in cattle from the northern region of Peru: first serological report.The Journal of veterinary medical science · 2025Article
- Survey to determine the farm-level impact of Schmallenberg virus during the 2023-2024 UK lambing season.The Veterinary record · 2025Article
- Impact of BTV-3 Circulation in Belgium in 2024 and Current Knowledge Gaps Hindering an Evidence-Based Control Program.Viruses · 2025Article
- Evaluating Temperature Effects on Bluetongue Virus Serotype 10 and 17 Coinfection inInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2024Article
- Outlook on RNAi-Based Strategies for ControllingPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Review
- Redirecting Imipramine against Bluetongue Virus Infection: Insights from a Genome-wide Haploid Screening Study.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Bluetongue virus (BTV) serotype 8 has been circulating in Europe since a major outbreak occurred in 2006, causing economic losses to livestock farms. The unpredictability of the biting activity of midges that transmit BTV implies difficulty in computing accurate transmission models. This study uniquely integrates field collections of midges at a range of European latitudes (in Sweden, The Netherlands, and Italy), with a multi-scale modelling approach. We inferred the environmental factors that influence the dynamics of midge catching, and then directly linked predicted midge catches to BTV transmission dynamics. Catch predictions were linked to the observed prevalence amongst sentinel cattle during the 2007 BTV outbreak in The Netherlands using a dynamic transmission model. We were able to directly infer a scaling parameter between daily midge catch predictions and the true biting rate per cow per day. Compared to biting rate per cow per day the scaling parameter was around 50% of 24 h midge catches with traps. Extending the estimated biting rate across Europe, for different seasons and years, indicated that whilst intensity of transmission is expected to vary widely from herd to herd, around 95% of naïve herds in western Europe have been at risk of sustained transmission over the last 15 years.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.