Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33479052›Full record

Observational studyGut2022

Two-dimensional shear wave elastography predicts survival in advanced chronic liver disease.

Jonel Trebicka, Wenyi Gu, Victor de Ledinghen, Christophe Aubé, Aleksander Krag, Michael Praktiknjo, Laurent Castera, Jerome Dumortier, David Josef Maria Bauer, Mireen Friedrich-Rust and 39 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Gut, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06523608 (Prediction of Decompensation and HCC Development in Patients With Advanced Chronic Liver Disease by the PLEASE and M10S20 Algorithms), which is not on this map. Cited by 36 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
8.4field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06523608 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Prediction of Decompensation and HCC Development in Patients With Advanced Chronic Liver Disease by the PLEASE and M10S20 Algorithms

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorUniversity Hospital MuensterRan2024 to 2027Enrolled600ConditionsLiver Diseases, Hepatocellular Carcinoma, Hepatocarcinoma, Advanced Chronic Liver DiseaseArmsStandard survillance protocol, Stratified survillance protocol
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 66 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The Role of Endoscopic Ultrasound in Assessing Portal Hypertension: A State-of-the-Art Literature Review and Evolving Perspectives.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. [Ultrasound technologies' new clinical application for chronic liver diseases].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2026
    Review
  6. Prognostication of Liver Disease Patients via the WFUMB 'Rule-of-4' Algorithm Using SSI-2D-SWE-Based Liver Stiffness Measurement.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Article
  7. Noninvasive Tests for Predicting Decompensation in Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease: A Comprehensive Review.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Acute and non-acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2025
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Mechanobiology of portal hypertension.JHEP reports : innovation in hepatology · 2023
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

49 authors at 16 institutions in 11 countries.

Jonel Trebicka *Department of Internal Medicine I, Frankfurt University Hospital, Frankfurt am Main, Hessen, Germany Jonel.Trebicka@kgu.de.ORCID 0000-0002-7028-3881
Wenyi Gu *Department of Internal Medicine I, Frankfurt University Hospital, Frankfurt am Main, Hessen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-1615-6064
Victor de LedinghenCHU Bordeaux and INSERM U1053, Bordeaux University, Bordeaux, France.
Christophe AubéUniversity Hospital and HIFIH Lab (UE3859), Angers, France.
Aleksander KragDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.
Michael PraktiknjoInternal Medicine I, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7033-9956
Laurent CasteraDepartment of Radiology, Beaujon University Hospital, Clichy, France.
Jerome DumortierFédération des Spécialités Digestives, Hôpital Edouard Herriot, Lyon, France.
David Josef Maria BauerDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Wien, Austria.
Mireen Friedrich-RustDepartment of Internal Medicine I, Frankfurt University Hospital, Frankfurt am Main, Hessen, Germany.
Stanislas PolParis Cochin University Hopital, Paris, France.
Ivica GrgurevicUniversity hospital Dubrava, University of Zagreb School of Medicine, Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia.
Rongqin ZhengDepartment of Ultrasound, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Sven FrancqueInflaMed Centre of Excellence, Translational Sciences in Inflammation and Immunology, Laboratory of Experimental Medicine and Paediatrics, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University Hospital Antwerp, Edegem, Antwerp, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-7527-4714
Halima GottfriedovàDepartment of Hepato-Gastroenterology, Institute for Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Prague, Czech Republic.
Sanda MustapicUniversity hospital Dubrava, University of Zagreb School of Medicine, Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia.
Ioan SporeaGastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Victor Babes Timisoara, Timisoara, Romania.
Annalisa BerzigottiBern University Hospital, Bern, Switzerland.
Frank Erhard UschnerDepartment of Internal Medicine I, Frankfurt University Hospital, Frankfurt am Main, Hessen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-3760-2887
Benedikt SimbrunnerDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Wien, Austria.
Maxime RonotDepartment of Radiology, Beaujon University Hospital, Clichy, France.
Christophe CassinottoUniversity Hospital and HIFIH Lab (UE3859), Angers, France.ORCID 0000-0001-5136-4742
Maria KjaergaardDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.
Filipe AndradeDepartment of Radiology, Beaujon University Hospital, Clichy, France.
Martin SchulzDepartment of Internal Medicine I, Frankfurt University Hospital, Frankfurt am Main, Hessen, Germany.
Georg SemmlerDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Wien, Austria.
Ida Tjesic DrinkovicUniversity hospital Dubrava, University of Zagreb School of Medicine, Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia.
Johannes ChangInternal Medicine I, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Maximilian Joseph BrolDepartment of Internal Medicine I, Frankfurt University Hospital, Frankfurt am Main, Hessen, Germany.
Pierre Emmanuel RautouDepartment of Radiology, Beaujon University Hospital, Clichy, France.
Thomas VanwolleghemInflaMed Centre of Excellence, Translational Sciences in Inflammation and Immunology, Laboratory of Experimental Medicine and Paediatrics, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University Hospital Antwerp, Edegem, Antwerp, Belgium.
Christian P StrassburgInternal Medicine I, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Jerome BoursierUniversity Hospital and HIFIH Lab (UE3859), Angers, France.ORCID 0000-0002-7282-1436
Philip Georg FerstlDepartment of Internal Medicine I, Frankfurt University Hospital, Frankfurt am Main, Hessen, Germany.
Ditlev Nytoft RasmussenDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.
Thomas ReibergerDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Wien, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-4590-3583
Valerie VilgrainDepartment of Radiology, Beaujon University Hospital, Clichy, France.
Aymeric GuibalDepartment of Radiology, Saint Jean Hospital, Perpignan, France.
Olivier GuillaudFédération des Spécialités Digestives, Hôpital Edouard Herriot, Lyon, France.
Stefan ZeuzemDepartment of Internal Medicine I, Frankfurt University Hospital, Frankfurt am Main, Hessen, Germany.
Camille VassordParis Cochin University Hopital, Paris, France.
Xue LuDepartment of Ultrasound, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Luisa VonghiaInflaMed Centre of Excellence, Translational Sciences in Inflammation and Immunology, Laboratory of Experimental Medicine and Paediatrics, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University Hospital Antwerp, Edegem, Antwerp, Belgium.
Renata SenkerikovaDepartment of Hepato-Gastroenterology, Institute for Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Prague, Czech Republic.
Alina PopescuGastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Victor Babes Timisoara, Timisoara, Romania.
Cristina MarginiBern University Hospital, Bern, Switzerland.
Wenping WangZhongshan Hospital Fudan University, Shanghai, Shanghai, China.
Maja ThieleDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-1854-1924
Chrisitan JansenInternal Medicine I, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Goethe University Frankfurt · DEHôpital Beaujon · FRMedical University of Vienna · ATOdense University Hospital · DKUniversity of Bonn · DEAntwerp University Hospital · BESun Yat-sen University · CNUniversité d'Angers · FRUniversity of Zagreb · HRHôpital Cochin · FRHôpital Edouard Herriot · FRInstitute of Clinical and Experimental Medicine · CZUniversity Hospital of Bern · CHVictor Babeș University of Medicine and Pharmacy Timișoara · ROCentre Hospitalier de Perpignan · FRInserm · FR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveLiver stiffness measurement (LSM) is a tool used to screen for significant fibrosis and portal hypertension. The aim of this retrospective multicentre study was to develop an easy tool using LSM for clinical outcomes in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) patients.

designThis international multicentre cohort study included a derivation ACLD patient cohort with valid two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) results. Clinical and laboratory parameters at baseline and during follow-up were recorded. LSM by transient elastography (TE) was also recorded if available. The primary outcome was overall mortality. The secondary outcome was the development of first/further decompensation.

resultsAfter screening 2148 patients (16 centres), 1827 patients (55 years, 62.4% men) were included in the 2D-SWE cohort, with median liver SWE (L-SWE) 11.8 kPa and a model for end stage liver disease (MELD) score of 8. Combination of MELD score and L-SWE predict independently of mortality (AUC 0.8). L-SWE cut-off at ≥20 kPa combined with MELD ≥10 could stratify the risk of mortality and first/further decompensation in ACLD patients. The 2-year mortality and decompensation rates were 36.9% and 61.8%, respectively, in the 305 (18.3%) high-risk patients (with L-SWE ≥20 kPa and MELD ≥10), while in the 944 (56.6%) low-risk patients, these were 1.1% and 3.5%, respectively. Importantly, this M10LS20 algorithm was validated by TE-based LSM and in an additional cohort of 119 patients with valid point shear SWE-LSM.

conclusionThe M10LS20 algorithm allows risk stratification of patients with ACLD. Patients with L-SWE ≥20 kPa and MELD ≥10 should be followed closely and receive intensified care, while patients with low risk may be managed at longer intervals.

Indexed as

Elasticity Imaging TechniquesAdultAlgorithmsChronic DiseaseFemaleHumansLiver DiseasesMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesROC CurveSurvival Ratechronic liver diseaseclinical decision makingliver cirrhosisliver failureportal hypertension

Identifiers

PMID33479052
PMCPMC8761995
OpenAlexW3123645687

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.