Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33478891›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of arthroplasty2021

Development of a Novel, Potentially Universal Machine Learning Algorithm for Prediction of Complications After Total Hip Arthroplasty.

Akash A Shah, Sai K Devana, Changhee Lee, Reza Kianian, Mihaela van der Schaar, Nelson F SooHoo

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of arthroplasty, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.1field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 61 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Deep learning-based prediction model for postoperative complications of cervical posterior longitudinal ligament ossification.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Akash A ShahDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA.
Sai K DevanaDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA.
Changhee LeeDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of California, Los Angeles, CA.
Reza KianianDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA.
Mihaela van der SchaarDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Nelson F SooHooDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA.
University of California, Los Angeles · US

Funding

Regenerative Musculoskeletal Medicine Training ProgramT32AR059033 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI John S Adams, Nicholas M. Bernthal · 2011 to 2026
$4.8M
NIAMS NIH HHS L30 AR081607NIAMS NIH HHS T32 AR059033
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAs the prevalence of hip osteoarthritis increases, the number of total hip arthroplasty (THA) procedures performed is also projected to increase. Accurately risk-stratifying patients who undergo THA would be of great utility, given the significant cost and morbidity associated with developing perioperative complications. We aim to develop a novel machine learning (ML)-based ensemble algorithm for the prediction of major complications after THA, as well as compare its performance against standard benchmark ML methods.

methodsThis is a retrospective cohort study of 89,986 adults who underwent primary THA at any California-licensed hospital between 2015 and 2017. The primary outcome was major complications (eg infection, venous thromboembolism, cardiac complication, pulmonary complication). We developed a model predicting complication risk using AutoPrognosis, an automated ML framework that configures the optimally performing ensemble of ML-based prognostic models. We compared our model with logistic regression and standard benchmark ML models, assessing discrimination and calibration.

resultsThere were 545 patients who had major complications (0.61%). Our novel algorithm was well-calibrated and improved risk prediction compared to logistic regression, as well as outperformed the other four standard benchmark ML algorithms. The variables most important for AutoPrognosis (eg malnutrition, dementia, cancer) differ from those that are most important for logistic regression (eg chronic atherosclerosis, renal failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease).

conclusionWe report a novel ensemble ML algorithm for the prediction of major complications after THA. It demonstrates superior risk prediction compared to logistic regression and other standard ML benchmark algorithms. By providing accurate prognostic information, this algorithm may facilitate more informed preoperative shared decision-making.

Indexed as

Arthroplasty, Replacement, HipOsteoarthritis, HipAdultAlgorithmsHumansMachine LearningPostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective StudiesRisk Factorsartificial intelligencecomplicationsmachine learningoutcomestotal hip arthroplasty

Identifiers

PMID33478891
PMCPMC10371358
OpenAlexW3114878753

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.