Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33474833›Full record

ArticleJournal of the International AIDS Society2021

Subtype-specific differences in transmission cluster dynamics of HIV-1 B and CRF01_AE in New South Wales, Australia.

Francesca Di Giallonardo, Angie N Pinto, Phillip Keen, Ansari Shaik, Alex Carrera, Hanan Salem, Christine Selvey, Steven J Nigro, Neil Fraser, Karen Price and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Francesca Di GiallonardoThe Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8749-4095
Angie N PintoThe Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Phillip KeenThe Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-2678-0645
Ansari ShaikThe Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Alex CarreraNSW HIV Reference Laboratory, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Hanan SalemNew South Wales Health Pathology-RPA, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
Christine SelveyHealth Protection NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Steven J NigroHealth Protection NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Neil FraserPositive Life New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Karen PriceACON, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Joanne HoldenNSW Ministry of Health, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Frederick J LeeNew South Wales Health Pathology-RPA, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
Dominic E DwyerNew South Wales Health Pathology-ICPMR, Westmead Hospital, Westmead, NSW, Australia.
Benjamin R BavintonThe Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-5834-8278
Jemma L GeogheganDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Andrew E GrulichThe Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Anthony D KelleherThe Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
NSW HIV Prevention Partnership Project

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe human immunodeficiency virus 1 (HIV-1) pandemic is characterized by numerous distinct sub-epidemics (clusters) that continually fuel local transmission. The aims of this study were to identify active growing clusters, to understand which factors most influence the transmission dynamics, how these vary between different subtypes and how this information might contribute to effective public health responses.

methodsWe used HIV-1 genomic sequence data linked to demographic factors that accounted for approximately 70% of all new HIV-1 notifications in New South Wales (NSW). We assessed differences in transmission cluster dynamics between subtype B and circulating recombinant form 01_AE (CRF01_AE). Separate phylogenetic trees were estimated using 2919 subtype B and 473 CRF01_AE sequences sampled between 2004 and 2018 in combination with global sequence data and NSW-specific clades were classified as clusters, pairs or singletons. Significant differences in demographics between subtypes were assessed with Chi-Square statistics.

resultsWe identified 104 subtype B and 11 CRF01_AE growing clusters containing a maximum of 29 and 11 sequences for subtype B and CRF01_AE respectively. We observed a > 2-fold increase in the number of NSW-specific CRF01_AE clades over time. Subtype B clusters were associated with individuals reporting men who have sex with men (MSM) as their transmission risk factor, being born in Australia, and being diagnosed during the early stage of infection (p < 0.01). CRF01_AE infections clusters were associated with infections among individuals diagnosed during the early stage of infection (p < 0.05) and CRF01_AE singletons were more likely to be from infections among individuals reporting heterosexual transmission (p < 0.05). We found six subtype B clusters with an above-average growth rate (>1.5 sequences / 6-months) and which consisted of a majority of infections among MSM. We also found four active growing CRF01_AE clusters containing only infections among MSM. Finally, we found 47 subtype B and seven CRF01_AE clusters that contained a large gap in time (>1 year) between infections and may be indicative of intermediate transmissions via undiagnosed individuals.

conclusionsThe large number of active and growing clusters among MSM are the driving force of the ongoing epidemic in NSW for subtype B and CRF01_AE.

Indexed as

AustraliaCluster AnalysisFemaleHeterosexualityHIV-1HIV InfectionsHomosexuality, MaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleNew South WalesPhylogenyRecombination, GeneticRisk FactorsSexual and Gender Minoritiesdemographic differencesearly infectionsHIV1public healthsubtype B and CRF01_AEtransmission cluster

Identifiers

PMID33474833
PMCPMC7817915

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.