Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33471253›Full record

ArticleDigestive diseases and sciences2022

Disease-Based Risk Stratification of Postendoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography Pancreatitis for Common Bile Duct Stones.

Hirokazu Saito, Masafumi Sakaguchi, Yoshihiro Kadono, Takashi Shono, Kentaro Kamikawa, Atsushi Urata, Jiro Nasu, Haruo Imamura, Ikuo Matsushita, Tatsuyuki Kakuma and 1 more

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Article in Digestive diseases and sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Predictive models for post-ERCP pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Frontiers in gastroenterology (Lausanne, Switzerland) · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Hirokazu SaitoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Kumamoto City Hospital, 4-1-60, Higashimachi, Higashi-ku, Kumamoto City, Kumamoto, 862-8505, Japan. h-saito@kumachu.gr.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8729-9604
Masafumi SakaguchiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Saiseikai Kumamoto Hospital, 5-3-1, Chikami, Minami-ku, Kumamoto City, Kumamoto, 861-4193, Japan.
Yoshihiro KadonoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Tsuruta Hospital, 10-112, Hotakubohonmachi, Higashi-ku, Kumamoto City, Kumamoto, 862-0925, Japan.
Takashi ShonoDepartment of Gastroenterological Surgery, Kumamoto Chuo Hospital, 1-5-1, Tainoshima, Minami-ku, Kumamoto City, Kumamoto, 862-0965, Japan.
Kentaro KamikawaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Saiseikai Kumamoto Hospital, 5-3-1, Chikami, Minami-ku, Kumamoto City, Kumamoto, 861-4193, Japan.
Atsushi UrataDepartment of Gastroenterology, Saiseikai Kumamoto Hospital, 5-3-1, Chikami, Minami-ku, Kumamoto City, Kumamoto, 861-4193, Japan.
Jiro NasuDepartment of Gastroenterological Surgery, Kumamoto Chuo Hospital, 1-5-1, Tainoshima, Minami-ku, Kumamoto City, Kumamoto, 862-0965, Japan.
Haruo ImamuraDepartment of Gastroenterology, Saiseikai Kumamoto Hospital, 5-3-1, Chikami, Minami-ku, Kumamoto City, Kumamoto, 861-4193, Japan.
Ikuo MatsushitaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Kumamoto Chuo Hospital, 1-5-1, Tainoshima, Minami-ku, Kumamoto City, Kumamoto, 862-0965, Japan.
Tatsuyuki KakumaDepartment of Biostatics Center, Medical School, Kurume University, 67, Asahimachi, Kurume City, Fukuoka, 830-0011, Japan.
Shuji TadaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Kumamoto City Hospital, 4-1-60, Higashimachi, Higashi-ku, Kumamoto City, Kumamoto, 862-8505, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk stratification of postendoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis (PEP) for common bile duct (CBD) stones is needed for clinicians to adequately explain to patients regarding the risk of PEP in advance of ERCP and to proactively take preventive measures in high-risk patients.

aimsTo stratify the risk of PEP for CBD stones based on CBD-related diseases.

methodsA total of 1551 patients with naïve papilla who underwent ERCP for CBD stones were divided into three groups: Group A: asymptomatic CBD stones, Group B: obstructive jaundice and elevated liver test values without cholangitis, and Group C: mild, moderate, and severe cholangitis. We stratified the risk of PEP by comparing its incidence among the three groups using the Holm's method. Furthermore, we performed one-to-one propensity score matching between Group A and the other groups to examine the risk of PEP in Group A.

resultsThe incidence rates in Groups A, B, and C were 13.7%, 7.3%, and 1.8%, respectively. The Holm-adjusted p values between Groups A and B, Groups A and C, and Groups B and C were 0.023, < 0.001, and < 0.001, respectively. Propensity score matching revealed that the incidence of PEP was significantly more in Group A than in the other groups (13.3% vs. 1.5%; p < 0.001).

conclusionsThe risk of PEP for CBD stones was stratified into low risk (Group C), intermediate risk (Group B), and high risk (Group A). This simple disease-based risk stratification may be useful to predict the risk of PEP in advance of ERCP.

Indexed as

Cholangiopancreatography, Endoscopic RetrogradeCholangitisGallstonesPancreatitisPostoperative ComplicationsAgedAsymptomatic DiseasesFemaleHumansIncidenceJapanJaundice, ObstructiveLiver Function TestsMalePrognosisRetrospective StudiesBiliary tractCommon bile ductEndoscopic retrogradePancreatitisRisk assessment

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.