Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33471100›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2021

Prevalence and Predictors of Persistent Human Immunodeficiency Virus Viremia and Viral Rebound After Universal Test and Treat: A Population-Based Study.

M Kate Grabowski, Eshan U Patel, Gertrude Nakigozi, Victor Ssempijja, Robert Ssekubugu, Joseph Ssekasanvu, Anthony Ndyanabo, Godfrey Kigozi, Fred Nalugoda, Ronald H Gray and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

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  15. Mobility and HIV care engagement: a research agenda.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2023
    Review
  16. Mobility and ART retention among men in Malawi: a mixed-methods study.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2023
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

M Kate GrabowskiDepartment of Pathology, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Eshan U PatelDepartment of Pathology, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Gertrude NakigoziRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Victor SsempijjaRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Robert SsekubuguRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Joseph SsekasanvuDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Anthony NdyanaboRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Godfrey KigoziRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Fred NalugodaRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Ronald H GrayDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Sarah KalibbalaRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
David M SerwaddaRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Oliver LaeyendeckerMakerere University School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda.
Maria J WawerDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Larry W ChangDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Thomas C QuinnDepartment of Pathology, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Joseph KagaayiRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Aaron A R TobianDepartment of Pathology, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Steven J ReynoldsRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.

Funding

Vaccine Response and Immunotherapeutics SWGP30AI094189 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Richard E. Chaisson · 2012 to 2026
$67.0M
International Center for Excellence in Research (ICER) in Uganda: Impact of ARVsZIAAI001040 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI REYNOLDS, STEVEN · 2009 to 2025
$23.5M
International Studies of the Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS)ZIAAI000361 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI REDD, ANDREW · 2009 to 2025
$15.8M
Circumcision: HIV/STIs and behaviors in a RCT and post-RCT surveillance; RakaiU01AI075115 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAY, RONALD H · 2007 to 2011
$9.3M
Johns Hopkins HIV Epidemiology and Prevention Sciences Training ProgramT32AI102623 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Shruti H Mehta · 2013 to 2026
$5.3M
Structural and Social Transitions Among Adolescents in Rakai (SSTAR)R01HD091003 · NICHD · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SANTELLI, JOHN S. · 2017 to 2021
$3.7M
The role of penile bacteria and inflammation in HIV susceptibility; Rakai, UgandaR01AI123002 · NIAID · GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI LIU, CINDY · 2016 to 2020
$3.3M
Enhanced Provision of Male Circumcision for HIV Prevention, Rakai, UgandaU01AI100031 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAY, RONALD H · 2012 to 2014
$3.2M
CHWs, mHealth, and Combination HIV Prevention in a Hotspot: A Randomized TrialR01MH107275 · NIMH · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CHANG, LARRY WILLIAM · 2015 to 2019
$2.7M
Long-term impact of universal treatment and dolutegravir on population HIV virologic and incidence outcomes in Africa: The LONGVIEW StudyR01AI155080 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRABOWSKI, MARY KATHRYN · 2021 to 2024
$2.5M
Hard-to-Reach Populations: Implications for Ending the AIDS EpidemicR01AI143333 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CHANG, LARRY WILLIAM · 2019 to 2022
$2.4M
HIV Incidence, Transmission Dynamics and Combination HIV Prevention: Rakai UgandaR01AI110324 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAY, RONALD H · 2014 to 2016
$2.4M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW010557NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI125086NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI094189NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI110324NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI123002NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI128779NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI143333NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI155080NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI102623NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI075115NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI100031NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD091003NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH105313NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH107275
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere are limited data on individual human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) viral load (VL) trajectories at the population-level after the introduction of universal test and treat (UTT) in sub-Saharan Africa.

methodsHuman immunodeficiency virus VLs were assessed among HIV-positive participants through 3 population-based surveys in 4 Ugandan fishing communities surveyed between November 2011 and August 2017. The unit of analysis was a visit-pair (2 consecutive person-visits), which were categorized as exhibiting durable VL suppression, new/renewed VL suppression, viral rebound, or persistent viremia. Adjusted relative risks (adjRRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of persistent viremia were estimated using multivariate Poisson regression.

resultsThere were 1346 HIV-positive participants (n = 1883 visit-pairs). The population-level prevalence of durable VL suppression increased from 29.7% to 67.9% during UTT rollout, viral rebound declined from 4.4% to 2.7%, and persistent viremia declined from 20.8% to 13.3%. Younger age (15-29 vs 40-49 years; adjRR = 1.80; 95% CI = 1.19-2.71), male sex (adjRR = 2.09, 95% CI = 1.47-2.95), never being married (vs currently married; adjRR = 1.88, 95% CI = 1.34-2.62), and recent migration to the community (vs long-term resident; adjRR = 1.91, 95% CI = 1.34-2.73) were factors associated with persistent viremia.

conclusionsDespite increases in durable VL suppression during roll out of UTT in hyperendemic communities, a substantial fraction of the population, whose risk profile tended to be younger, male, and mobile, remained persistently viremic.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsHIV InfectionsHIV SeropositivityViremiaAdolescentAdultFemaleHIVHumansMaleMiddle AgedPersistent InfectionPrevalenceUgandaViral LoadYoung AdultAnti-HIV AgentsAfricacohort studiesHIV preventionuniversal test and treatviral suppression

Identifiers

PMID33471100
PMCPMC8030722

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.