Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33468142›Full record

ArticleCardiovascular diabetology2021

Cumulative burden of metabolic syndrome and its components on the risk of atrial fibrillation: a nationwide population-based study.

Hyo-Jeong Ahn, Kyung-Do Han, Eue-Keun Choi, Jin-Hyung Jung, Soonil Kwon, So-Ryoung Lee, Seil Oh, Gregory Y H Lip

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular diabetology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
5.5field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 45 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
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  5. Metabolic Syndrome and Atrial Cardiomyopathy on the Risk of Stroke Mortality in the General Population.Annals of noninvasive electrocardiology : the official journal of the International Society for Holter and Noninvasive Electrocardiology, Inc · 2026
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  15. Development ofTranslational and clinical pharmacology · 2024
    Article
  16. The Metabolic Syndrome, a Human Disease.International journal of molecular sciences · 2024
    Review
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  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

Hyo-Jeong Ahn *Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.
Kyung-Do Han *Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Soongsil University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Eue-Keun ChoiDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea. choiek17@snu.ac.kr.ORCID 0000-0002-0411-6372
Jin-Hyung JungDepartment of Medical Statistics, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Soonil KwonDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.
So-Ryoung LeeDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.
Seil OhDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.
Gregory Y H LipDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Seoul National University Hospital · KRSeoul National University · KRCatholic University of Korea · KRSoongsil University · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its components are associated with the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the impact of time-burden of MetS on the risk of AF is unknown. We investigated the effect of the cumulative longitudinal burden of MetS on the development of AF.

methodsWe included 2 885 189 individuals without AF who underwent four annual health examinations during 2009-2013 from the database of the Korean national health insurance service. Metabolic burdens were evaluated in the following three ways: (1) cumulative number of MetS diagnosed at each health examination (0-4 times); (2) cumulative number of each MetS component diagnosed at each health examination (0-4 times per MetS component); and (3) cumulative number of total MetS components diagnosed at each health examination (0 to a maximum of 20). The risk of AF according to the metabolic burden was estimated using Cox proportional-hazards models.

resultsOf all individuals, 62.4%, 14.8%, 8.7%, 6.5%, and 7.6% met the MetS diagnostic criteria 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 times, respectively. During a mean follow-up of 5.3 years, the risk of AF showed a positive association with the cumulative number of MetS diagnosed over four health examinations: adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of 1, 2, 3, and 4 times compared to 0 times were 1.18 (1.13-1.24), 1.31 (1.25-1.39), 1.46 (1.38-1.55), and 1.72 (1.63-1.82), respectively; P for trend < 0.001. All five components of MetS, when diagnosed repeatedly, were independently associated with an increased risk of AF: adjusted HR (95% CI) from 1.22 (1.15-1.29) for impaired fasting glucose to 1.96 (1.87-2.07) for elevated blood pressure. As metabolic components were accumulated from 0 to 20 counts, the risk of AF also gradually increased up to 3.1-fold (adjusted HR 3.11, 95% CI 2.52-3.83 in those with 20 cumulative components of MetS), however, recovery from MetS was linked to a decreased risk of AF.

conclusionsGiven the positive correlations between the cumulative metabolic burdens and the risk of incident AF, maximal effort to detect and correct metabolic derangements even before MetS development might be important to prevent AF and related cardiovascular diseases.

Indexed as

AdultAtrial FibrillationCardiometabolic Risk FactorsComorbidityDatabases, FactualDiabetes MellitusDyslipidemiasFemaleHumansHypertensionIncidenceLife StyleLongitudinal StudiesMaleMetabolic SyndromeMiddle AgedAtrial fibrillationMetabolic burdenMetabolic syndrome

Identifiers

PMID33468142
PMCPMC7816376
OpenAlexW3121376789

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.