Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33466497›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2021

Epidemiological Analysis of the 2019 Dengue Epidemic in Bhutan.

Tsheten Tsheten, Angus Mclure, Archie C A Clements, Darren J Gray, Tenzin Wangdi, Sonam Wangchuk, Kinley Wangdi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. National dengue surveillance, Cambodia 2002-2020.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2023
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Survival Analysis of Symptomatic COVID-19 in Phuentsholing Municipality, Bhutan.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Tsheten TshetenResearch School of Population, Australian National University, Acton, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8071-5721
Angus MclureResearch School of Population, Australian National University, Acton, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.
Archie C A ClementsFaculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA 6102, Australia.
Darren J GrayResearch School of Population, Australian National University, Acton, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.
Tenzin WangdiVector-Borne Disease Control Program, Ministry of Health, Gelephu 31102, Bhutan.
Sonam WangchukRoyal Centre for Disease Control, Ministry of Health, Thimphu 11001, Bhutan.
Kinley WangdiResearch School of Population, Australian National University, Acton, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8857-2665

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Bhutan experienced its largest and first nation-wide dengue epidemic in 2019. The cases in 2019 were greater than the total number of cases in all the previous years. This study aimed to characterize the spatiotemporal patterns and effective reproduction number of this explosive epidemic. Weekly notified dengue cases were extracted from the National Early Warning, Alert, Response and Surveillance (NEWARS) database to describe the spatial and temporal patterns of the epidemic. The time-varying, temperature-adjusted cohort effective reproduction number was estimated over the course of the epidemic. The dengue epidemic occurred between 29 April and 8 December 2019 over 32 weeks, and included 5935 cases. During the epidemic, dengue expanded from six to 44 subdistricts. The effective reproduction number was <3 for most of the epidemic period, except for a ≈1 month period of explosive growth, coinciding with the monsoon season and school vacations, when the effective reproduction number peaked >30 and after which the effective reproduction number declined steadily. Interventions were only initiated 6 weeks after the end of the period of explosive growth. This finding highlights the need to reinforce the national preparedness plan for outbreak response, and to enable the early detection of cases and timely response.

Indexed as

DengueEpidemicsBasic Reproduction NumberBhutanHumansBhutandenguedispersionepidemictransmissibility

Identifiers

PMID33466497
PMCPMC7796457

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.