Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33466469›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2021

Using an Interaction Parameter in Model-Based Phase I Trials for Combination Treatments? A Simulation Study.

Pavel Mozgunov, Rochelle Knight, Helen Barnett, Thomas Jaki

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Pavel MozgunovDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YF, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6810-0284
Rochelle KnightDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YF, UK.
Helen BarnettDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YF, UK.
Thomas JakiDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YF, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1096-188X

Funding

Department of Health NIHR300576Department of Health SRF-2015-08-001Medical Research Council MC_UU_00002/14Medical Research Council MC_UU_0002/14National Institute for Health Research NIHR-SRF-2015-08-001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

There is growing interest in Phase I dose-finding studies studying several doses of more than one agent simultaneously. A number of combination dose-finding designs were recently proposed to guide escalation/de-escalation decisions during the trials. The majority of these proposals are model-based: a parametric combination-toxicity relationship is fitted as data accumulates. Various parameter shapes were considered but the unifying theme for many of these is that typically between 4 and 6 parameters are to be estimated. While more parameters allow for more flexible modelling of the combination-toxicity relationship, this is a challenging estimation problem given the typically small sample size in Phase I trials of between 20 and 60 patients. These concerns gave raise to an ongoing debate whether including more parameters into combination-toxicity model leads to more accurate combination selection. In this work, we extensively study two variants of a 4-parameter logistic model with reduced number of parameters to investigate the effect of modelling assumptions. A framework to calibrate the prior distributions for a given parametric model is proposed to allow for fair comparisons. Via a comprehensive simulation study, we have found that the inclusion of the interaction parameter between two compounds does not provide any benefit in terms of the accuracy of selection, on average, but is found to result in fewer patients allocated to the target combination during the trial.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials, Phase III as TopicLogistic ModelsResearch DesignBayes TheoremDose-Response Relationship, DrugHumansMaximum Tolerated DoseSample Sizecombination studydose-escalationinteractionmodelling assumption

Identifiers

PMID33466469
PMCPMC7796482

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.