Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33456433›Full record

ArticlePersonal and ubiquitous computing2023

Time series forecasting of COVID-19 transmission in Asia Pacific countries using deep neural networks.

Hafiz Tayyab Rauf, M Ikram Ullah Lali, Muhammad Attique Khan, Seifedine Kadry, Hanan Alolaiyan, Abdul Razaq, Rizwana Irfan

RetractedAbstract readRetracted Publication
In one paragraph

Article in Personal and ubiquitous computing, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It has been retracted, and should not be counted. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  20. The Recent Technologies to Curb the Second-Wave of COVID-19 Pandemic.IEEE access : practical innovations, open solutions · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Hafiz Tayyab RaufDepartment of Computer Science, University of Gujrat, Gujrat, Pakistan.
M Ikram Ullah LaliDepartment of Computer Science, University of Education, Lahore, 54770 Pakistan.
Muhammad Attique KhanDepartment of Computer Science, HITEC University Taxila, Taxila, Pakistan.
Seifedine KadryDepartment of Mathematics and Computer Science, Faculty of Science, Beirut Arab University, Beirut, Lebanon.
Hanan AlolaiyanDepartment of Mathematics, King Saud University, Riyadh, 11451 Saudi Arabia.
Abdul RazaqDivision of Science and Technology, Department of Mathematics, University of Education, Lahore, 54000 Pakistan.
Rizwana IrfanDepartment of Mathematics and Computer Science, Faculty of Science, University of Jeddah, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The novel human coronavirus disease COVID-19 has become the fifth documented pandemic since the 1918 flu pandemic. COVID-19 was first reported in Wuhan, China, and subsequently spread worldwide. Almost all of the countries of the world are facing this natural challenge. We present forecasting models to estimate and predict COVID-19 outbreak in Asia Pacific countries, particularly Pakistan, Afghanistan, India, and Bangladesh. We have utilized the latest deep learning techniques such as Long Short Term Memory networks (LSTM), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) to quantify the intensity of pandemic for the near future. We consider the time variable and data non-linearity when employing neural networks. Each model's salient features have been evaluated to foresee the number of COVID-19 cases in the next 10 days. The forecasting performance of employed deep learning models shown up to July 01, 2020, is more than 90% accurate, which shows the reliability of the proposed study. We hope that the present comparative analysis will provide an accurate picture of pandemic spread to the government officials so that they can take appropriate mitigation measures.

Indexed as

Convolutional neural networksCOVID-19GRULSTMRNN

Identifiers

PMID33456433
PMCPMC7797027

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.