Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33454848›Full record

SynthesisPediatric surgery international2021

Meta-analyses in paediatric surgery are often fragile: implications and consequences.

Arne Schröder, Oliver J Muensterer, Christina Oetzmann von Sochaczewski

Open access · hybridAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Pediatric surgery international, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Assessing the robustness of COVID-19 vaccine efficacy trials: systematic review and meta-analysis, January 2023.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023
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  15. Fragility index of meta-analyses in paediatric surgery.Pediatric surgery international · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Arne SchröderKlinik für Kinder- und Jugendmedizin, Elisabeth-Krankenhaus, Essen, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1552-6163
Oliver J MuenstererKlinik und Poliklinik für Kinderchirurgie, Universitätsmedizin der Johannes-Gutenberg-Universität, Langenbeckstraße 1, 55131, Mainz, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2790-4395
Christina Oetzmann von SochaczewskiKlinik und Poliklinik für Kinderchirurgie, Universitätsmedizin der Johannes-Gutenberg-Universität, Langenbeckstraße 1, 55131, Mainz, Germany. c.oetzmann@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3469-777X
Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz · DEElisabeth-Krankenhaus Essen · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeMeta-analyses occupy the highest level of evidence and thereby guide clinical decision-making. Recently, randomised-controlled trials were evaluated for the robustness of their findings by calculating the fragility index. The fragility index is the number of events that needs to be added to one treatment arm until the statistical significance collapses. We, therefore, aimed to evaluate the robustness of paediatric surgical meta-analyses.

methodsWe searched MEDLINE for paediatric surgical meta-analyses in the last decade. All meta-analyses on a paediatric surgical condition were eligible for analysis if they based their conclusion on a statistically significant meta-analysis.

resultsWe screened 303 records and conducted a full-text evaluation of 60 manuscripts. Of them, 39 were included in our analysis that conducted 79 individual meta-analyses with significant results. Median fragility index was 5 (Q25-Q75% 2-11). Median fragility in relation to included patients was 0.77% (Q25-Q75% 0.29-1.87%).

conclusionPaediatric surgical meta-analyses are often fragile. In almost 60% of results, the statistical significance depends on less than 1% of the included population. However, as the fragility index is just a transformation of the P value, it basically conveys the same information in a different format. It therefore should be avoided.

Indexed as

ChildHumansPediatricsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicSpecialties, SurgicalSurgical Procedures, OperativeFragility indexFragility quotientMeta-analysisP valueUninformative statistic

Identifiers

PMID33454848
PMCPMC7900054
OpenAlexW3123258109

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.