Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33453328›Full record

ArticleJournal of hepatology2021

Predicting survival after liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma using the LiTES-HCC score.

David Goldberg, Alejandro Mantero, Craig Newcomb, Cindy Delgado, Kimberly A Forde, David E Kaplan, Binu John, Nadine Nuchovich, Barbara Dominguez, Ezekiel Emanuel and 1 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of hepatology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.9field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 39 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
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  9. Trends in Survival for Adult Organ Transplantation.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2024
    Article
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  14. Review
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  16. Article
  17. Blockchain and artificial intelligence technology in e-Health.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021
    Review
  18. Liver transplantation in malignant disease.World journal of clinical oncology · 2021
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

David GoldbergDivision of Digestive Health and Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA. Electronic address: dsgoldberg@med.miami.edu.
Alejandro ManteroDepartment of Public Health Sciences, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.
Craig NewcombDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Cindy DelgadoDivision of Digestive Health and Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.
Kimberly A FordeDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
David E KaplanDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA; Corporal Michael J. Crescenz VA Medical Center, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Binu JohnBruce Carter VA Medica Center, Miami, FL, USA.
Nadine NuchovichDivision of Digestive Health and Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.
Barbara DominguezDivision of Digestive Health and Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.
Ezekiel EmanuelDepartment of Medical Ethics and Health Policy, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Peter P ReeseDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA; Renal-Electrolye and Hypertension Division, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
University of Miami · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · USBruce W. Carter VA Medical Center · USPhiladelphia VA Medical Center · US

Funding

Using ethics, epidemiology and high-quality data to optimize the allocation of livers for transplantationR01DK120561 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI GOLDBERG, DAVID SETH · 2019 to 2023
$2.7M
NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK120561
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsLiver transplant priority in the US and Europe follows the 'sickest-first' principle. However, for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), priority is based on binary tumor criteria to expedite transplant for patients with 'acceptable' post-transplant outcomes. Newer risk scores developed to overcome limitations of these binary criteria are insufficient to be used for waitlist priority as they focus solely on HCC-related pre-transplant variables. We sought to develop a risk score to predict post-transplant survival for patients using HCC- and non-HCC-related variables.

methodsWe performed a retrospective cohort study using national registry data on adult deceased-donor liver transplant (DDLT) recipients with HCC from 2/27/02-12/31/18. We fit Cox regression models focused on 5- and 10-year survival to estimate beta coefficients for a risk score using manual variable selection. We then calculated absolute predicted survival time and compared it to available risk scores.

resultsAmong 6,502 adult DDLT recipients with HCC, 11 variables were selected in the final model. The AUCs at 5- and 10-years were: 0.62, 95% CI 0.57-0.67 and 0.65, 95% CI 0.58-0.72, which was not statistically significantly different to the Metroticket and HALT-HCC scores. The LiTES-HCC score was able to discriminate patients based on post-transplant survival among those meeting Milan and UCSF criteria.

conclusionWe developed and validated a risk score to predict post-transplant survival for patients with HCC. By including HCC- and non-HCC-related variables (e.g., age, chronic kidney disease), this score could allow transplant professionals to prioritize patients with HCC in terms of predicted survival. In the future, this score could be integrated into survival benefit-based models to lead to meaningful improvements in life-years at the population level. LAY SUMMARY: We created a risk score to predict how long patients with liver cancer will live if they get a liver transplant. In the future, this could be used to decide which waitlisted patients should get the next transplant.

Indexed as

RegistriesResearch DesignAgedCarcinoma, HepatocellularFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLiver NeoplasmsLiver TransplantationMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSurvival RatecancerHCCliverPredictionsurvivaltransplant

Identifiers

PMID33453328
PMCPMC8137533
OpenAlexW3120206188

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.