Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33451678›Full record

ArticleChild abuse & neglect2021

Modelling the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on violent discipline against children.

Camilla Fabbri, Amiya Bhatia, Max Petzold, Munkhbadar Jugder, Alessandra Guedes, Claudia Cappa, Karen Devries

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Child abuse & neglect, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 39 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Greek Child and Adolescent Well-Being in the Post-pandemic Normalcy.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2026
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  3. Review
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  10. The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Mental Disorders. A Critical Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Review
  11. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 4 countries.

Camilla FabbriLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom. Electronic address: camilla.fabbri@lshtm.ac.uk.
Amiya BhatiaLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom. Electronic address: amiya.bhatia@lshtm.ac.uk.
Max PetzoldUniversity of Gothenburg, Sweden. Electronic address: max.petzold@gu.se.
Munkhbadar JugderUNICEF, USA. Electronic address: mjugder@unicef.org.
Alessandra GuedesUNICEF Office of Research Innocenti, Italy. Electronic address: aguedes@unicef.org.
Claudia CappaUNICEF, USA. Electronic address: ccappa@unicef.org.
Karen DevriesLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom. Electronic address: karen.devries@lshtm.ac.uk.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBUnited Nations Children's Fund · USUniversity of Gothenburg · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic could increase violence against children at home. However, collecting empirical data on violence is challenging due to ethical, safety, and data quality concerns.

objectiveThis study estimated the anticipated effect of COVID-19 on violent discipline at home using multivariable predictive regression models.

participantsChildren aged 1-14 years and household members from the Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS) conducted in Nigeria, Mongolia, and Suriname before the COVID-19 pandemic were included.

methodsA conceptual model of how the COVID-19 pandemic could affect risk factors for violent discipline was developed. Country specific multivariable linear models were used to estimate the association between selected variables from MICS and a violent discipline score which captured the average combination of violent disciplinary methods used in the home. A review of the literature informed the development of quantitative assumptions about how COVID-19 would impact the selected variables under a "high restrictions" pandemic scenario, approximating conditions expected during a period of intense response measures, and a "lower restrictions" scenario with easing of COVID-19 restrictions but with sustained economic impacts. These assumptions were used to estimate changes in violent discipline scores.

resultsUnder a "high restrictions" scenario there would be a 35%-46% increase in violent discipline scores in Nigeria, Mongolia and Suriname, and under a "lower restrictions" scenario there would be between a 4%-6% increase in violent discipline scores in these countries.

conclusionPolicy makers need to plan for increases in violent discipline during successive waves of lockdowns.

Indexed as

Child AbuseCOVID-19AdolescentAdultAggressionChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMaleNigeriaPandemicsPrevalencePunishmentRisk FactorsCorporal punishmentCOVID-19MICSPandemicPhysical violenceViolence against childrenViolent discipline

Identifiers

PMID33451678
PMCPMC9754318
OpenAlexW3113999264

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.