Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33451350›Full record

ArticleTrials2021

Missing clinical trial data: the evidence gap in primary data for potential COVID-19 drugs.

Florence Rodgers, Toby Pepperrell, Sarai Keestra, Victoria Pilkington

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Trials, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

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  15. Lessons Learned from Cutting-Edge Immunoinformatics on Next-Generation COVID-19 Vaccine Research.International journal of peptide research and therapeutics · 2021
    Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Florence RodgersSchool of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK. florence.rodgers15@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6627-1143
Toby PepperrellSchool of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Sarai KeestraAmsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Victoria PilkingtonOxford University Clinical Academic Graduate School, Oxford, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSeveral drugs are being repurposed for the treatment of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic based on in vitro or early clinical findings. As these drugs are being used in varied regimens and dosages, it is important to enable synthesis of existing safety data from clinical trials. However, availability of safety information is limited by a lack of timely reporting of overall clinical trial results on public registries or through academic publication. We aimed to analyse the evidence gap in this data by conducting a rapid review of results posting on ClinicalTrials.gov and in academic publications to quantify the number of trials missing results for drugs potentially being repurposed for COVID-19.

methodsClinicalTrials.gov was searched for 19 drugs that have been identified as potential treatments for COVID-19. Relevant clinical trials for any prior indication were listed by identifier (NCT number) and checked for results and for timely result reporting (within 395 days of the primary completion date). Additionally, PubMed and Google Scholar were searched to identify publications of results not listed on the registry. A second, blinded search of 10% of trials was conducted to assess reviewer concordance.

resultsOf 3754 completed trials, 1516 (40.4%) did not post results on ClinicalTrials.gov or in the academic literature. Tabular results were available on ClinicalTrials.gov for 1172 (31.2%) completed trials. A further 1066 (28.4%) had published results in the academic literature, but did not report results on ClinicalTrials.gov . Key drugs missing clinical trial results include hydroxychloroquine (37.0% completed trials unreported), favipiravir (77.8%) and lopinavir (40.5%).

conclusionsThere is an important evidence gap for the safety of drugs being repurposed for COVID-19. This uncertainty could cause unnecessary additional morbidity and mortality during the pandemic. We recommend caution in experimental drug use for non-severe disease and urge clinical trial sponsors to report missing results retrospectively.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials as TopicCOVID-19 Drug TreatmentRegistriesResearch ReportAmidesAntiviral AgentsDrug CombinationsDrug RepositioningEnzyme InhibitorsEvidence-Based MedicineHumansHydroxychloroquineLopinavirPubMedPyrazinesResearch DesignAmidesAntiviral AgentsDrug CombinationsEnzyme InhibitorsfavipiravirHydroxychloroquineLopinavirlopinavir-ritonavir drug combinationPyrazinesRitonavirAdverse eventsClinical trial transparencyCoronavirusCOVID-19 treatmentRepurposed drugsSafety information

Identifiers

PMID33451350
PMCPMC7809643

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.