Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33446129›Full record

ArticleBMC neurology2021

A time series analysis of the relationship between ambient temperature and ischaemic stroke in the Ljubljana area: immediate, delayed and cumulative effects.

Mirjam Ravljen, Fajko Bajrović, Damjan Vavpotič

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC neurology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Climatic influences on cardiovascular diseases.World journal of cardiology · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Mirjam RavljenUniversity of Ljubljana, Faculty of Health Sciences, Zdravstvena pot 5, Ljubljana, Slovenia. mirjam.ravljen@zf.uni-lj.si.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2642-0164
Fajko BajrovićUniversity Medical Centre Ljubljana, Neurology Clinic, Department of Vascular Neurology and Neurological Intensive Care, Zaloška cesta 2, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
Damjan VavpotičUniversity of Ljubljana, Faculty of Computer and Information Science, Information Systems Laboratory, Večna pot 113, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
University of Ljubljana · SILjubljana University Medical Centre · SI

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundStroke is a major health problem around the world. Several studies have examine the influence of ambient temperature on incidence of stoke, but they reported different results for different types of stroke and different geographical regions. Hence, effect of ambient temperature is still much of interest, when focusing on ischemic stroke (IS) in regions that have not been examined yet. The aim of our study is to analyse association between IS incidences and short, delayed and cumulative effect of average daily ambient temperature, humidity and pressure in central Europe. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first IS study conducted between 45° and 50° latitude where large part of Central European population resides.

methodsWe linked daily hospitals' admission data for whole population and separately for two specific age groups with ambient temperature data. We considered patients coming from Ljubljana basin and its immediate surrounding. Data were gathered daily from January 2012 to December 2017. To measure the effect of average ambient temperature, humidity and pressure we used generalized linear model with a log-link-function and a Poisson distribution.

resultsThe results of our study show a statistically significant immediate, delayed and cumulative effects of ambient temperatures on IS incidence for the whole population and the population older than 65 years. Specifically, 1 °C reduction in ambient temperature on a given day (Lag 0) increases the IS risk for approximately 5‰ (all population) or 6‰ (population older than 65 years). Similar effects were found for lags from 1 to 6. Analysis of time windows from 0 to 1 days up to 0-28 days also show statistically significant cumulative effect for the same two age groups. IS incidence was not found to be significantly related to pressure or humidity in any group.

conclusionThe findings of this study may help healthcare authorities in central Europe improve existing stroke prevention measures and raise public awareness.

Indexed as

SeasonsTemperatureAgedFemaleHumansIncidenceIschemic StrokeLinear ModelsMaleMiddle AgedSloveniaAverage daily ambient temperatureCentral EuropeMorbidityStrokeTime lagWeather

Identifiers

PMID33446129
PMCPMC7807497
OpenAlexW3125586601

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.