Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33444080›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology2021

Development and Validation of a Risk Tool for Predicting Severe Toxicity in Older Adults Receiving Chemotherapy for Early-Stage Breast Cancer.

Allison Magnuson, Mina S Sedrak, Cary P Gross, William P Tew, Heidi D Klepin, Tanya M Wildes, Hyman B Muss, Efrat Dotan, Rachel A Freedman, Tracey O'Connor and 9 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 83 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
83citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
12.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

83 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 139 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Predictive value of the Cancer and Aging Research Group Score for chemotherapy toxicities in older adults with cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2026
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  6. Comparison of geriatric assessment with provider's clinical assessment among older adults with gastroesophageal cancer.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2026
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  14. Use of a Delphi process to formulate a pragmatic framework for care planning in older adults with advanced bladder cancer.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2026
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23 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors at 12 institutions in 1 country.

Allison MagnusonUniversity of Rochester, Rochester, NY.ORCID 0000-0002-0968-8265
Mina S SedrakCity of Hope, Duarte, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-8379-391X
Cary P GrossYale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.
William P TewMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY.ORCID 0000-0001-5115-4470
Heidi D KlepinWake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC.ORCID 0000-0002-6262-1123
Tanya M WildesWashington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO.ORCID 0000-0002-1479-7626
Hyman B MussUNC Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chapel Hill, NC.ORCID 0000-0003-2862-9970
Efrat DotanFox Chase Cancer Center, Philadelphia, PA.ORCID 0000-0002-5762-512X
Rachel A FreedmanDana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0003-0460-674X
Tracey O'ConnorRoswell Park Cancer Institute, Buffalo, NY.
William DaleCity of Hope, Duarte, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-8674-9394
Harvey J CohenDuke University Medical Center, Durham, NC.
Vani KatheriaCity of Hope, Duarte, CA.
Anait ArsenyanCity of Hope, Duarte, CA.
Abrahm LeviCity of Hope, Duarte, CA.
Heeyoung KimCity of Hope, Duarte, CA.
Supriya MohileUniversity of Rochester, Rochester, NY.
Arti HurriaCity of Hope, Duarte, CA.
Can-Lan SunCity of Hope, Duarte, CA.
City of Hope · USUniversity of Rochester · USCity Of Hope National Medical Center · USDana-Farber Cancer Institute · USDuke Medical Center · USFox Chase Cancer Center · USMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USRoswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center · USUNC Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer CenterWake Forest University · USWashington University in St. Louis · USYale University · US

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
URCC NCORP Research BaseUG1CA189961 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI Michelle C Janelsins, KAREN M. MUSTIAN · 2014 to 2026
$67.7M
Oncology Research Career Development ProgramK12CA001727 · NCI · CITY OF HOPE NATIONAL MEDICAL CENTER · PI MORTIMER, JOANNE E. · 1992 to 2024
$14.6M
Washington University Paul Calabresi K12 Career Development Award for Clinical OncologyK12CA167540 · NCI · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI John F. Dipersio, Ramaswamy Govindan · 2012 to 2026
$11.7M
Geriatric Oncology Research Infrastructure to Improve Clinical CareR33AG059206 · NIA · BECKMAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE/CITY OF HOPE · PI WILLIAM DALE, Heidi Diana Klepin · 2020 to 2026
$5.1M
Clinical and Biological Predictors of Chemotherapy Toxicity in Older AdultsR01AG037037 · NIA · BECKMAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE/CITY OF HOPE · PI HURRIA, ARTI · 2011 to 2015
$2.4M
A Patient-Oriented Research Program in Geriatric OncologyK24AG056589 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI Supriya G. Mohile · 2018 to 2026
$1.5M
Mentoring the Next Generation of Geriatric Oncology Researchers in Patient-Oriented Research to Improve the Care of Older Adults with CancerK24AG055693 · NIA · BECKMAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE/CITY OF HOPE · PI WILLIAM DALE · 2018 to 2026
$1.4M
Mitigating Cancer-Related Cognitive Dysfunction in Older Adults with Breast CancerK76AG064394 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI MAGNUSON, ALLISON MARIAN · 2019 to 2023
$1.3M
Minimizing Physical Function Decline in Older Adults Receiving ChemotherapyK23AG038361 · NIA · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI KLEPIN, HEIDI DIANA · 2011 to 2014
$562k
Geriatric Oncology Research Infrastructure to Improve Clinical CareR21AG059206 · NIA · BECKMAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE/CITY OF HOPE · PI DALE, WILLIAM, MOHILE, SUPRIYA G. · 2018 to 2019
$478k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NCI NIH HHS K12 CA001727NCI NIH HHS K12 CA167540NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA189961NIA NIH HHS K23 AG038361NIA NIH HHS K24 AG055693NIA NIH HHS K24 AG056589NIA NIH HHS K76 AG064394NIA NIH HHS R01 AG037037NIA NIH HHS R21 AG059206NIA NIH HHS R33 AG059206
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeLimited tools exist to predict the risk of chemotherapy toxicity in older adults with early-stage breast cancer.

methodsPatients of age ≥ 65 years with stage I-III breast cancer from 16 institutions treated with neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy were prospectively evaluated for geriatric and clinical features predictive of grade 3-5 chemotherapy toxicity. Logistic regression with best-subsets selection was used to identify and incorporate independent predictors of toxicity into a model with weighted variable scoring. Model performance was evaluated using area under the ROC curve (AUC) and goodness-of-fit statistics. The model was internally and externally validated.

resultsIn 473 patients (283 in development and 190 in validation cohort), 46% developed grade 3-5 chemotherapy toxicities. Eight independent predictors were identified (each assigned weighted points): anthracycline use (1 point), stage II or III (3 points), planned treatment duration > 3 months (4 points), abnormal liver function (3 points), low hemoglobin (3 points), falls (4 points), limited walking (3 points), and lack of social support (3 points). We calculated risk scores for each patient and defined three risk groups: low (0-5 points), intermediate (6-11 points), or high (≥ 12 points). In the development cohort, the rates of grade 3-5 chemotherapy toxicity for these three groups were 19%, 54%, and 87%, respectively (

conclusionThe Cancer and Aging Research Group-Breast Cancer (CARG-BC) score was developed and validated to predict grade 3-5 chemotherapy toxicity in older adults with early-stage breast cancer.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overBreast NeoplasmsChemotherapy, AdjuvantCohort StudiesFemaleHumansNeoplasm StagingProspective StudiesReproducibility of ResultsRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID33444080
PMCPMC8189621
OpenAlexW3118252589

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.