Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33439490›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of animal ecology2020

Cascading effects of climate variability on the breeding success of an edge population of an apex predator.

Laura Gangoso, Duarte S Viana, Adriaan M Dokter, Judy Shamoun-Baranes, Jordi Figuerola, Sergio A Barbosa, Willem Bouten

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of animal ecology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Oldest known captive Saker Falcon (Biodiversity data journal · 2025
    Article
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  7. A new trophic specialization buffers a top predator against climate-driven resource instability.Behavioral ecology : official journal of the International Society for Behavioral Ecology
    Article
  8. Reproductive senescence in a polymorphic raptor: phenotypic, sex, and environmental effects.Behavioral ecology : official journal of the International Society for Behavioral Ecology
    Article
  9. Seasonal variation in trans-oceanic flight and island use in a migratory falcon.Behavioral ecology : official journal of the International Society for Behavioral Ecology
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Laura GangosoInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-6205-6769
Duarte S VianaGerman Center for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7864-0871
Adriaan M DokterCornell Lab of Ornithology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6573-066X
Judy Shamoun-BaranesInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-1652-7646
Jordi FiguerolaEstación Biológica de Doñana, CSIC, Sevilla, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-4664-9011
Sergio A BarbosaInstituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera, Lisbon, Portugal.
Willem BoutenInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-5250-8872

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Large-scale environmental forces can influence biodiversity at different levels of biological organization. Climate, in particular, is often associated with species distributions and diversity gradients. However, its mechanistic link to population dynamics is still poorly understood. Here, we unravelled the full mechanistic path by which a climatic driver, the Atlantic trade winds, determines the viability of a bird population. We monitored the breeding population of Eleonora's falcons in the Canary Islands for over a decade (2007-2017) and integrated different methods and data to reconstruct how the availability of their prey (migratory birds) is regulated by trade winds. We tracked foraging movements of breeding adults using GPS, monitored departure of migratory birds using weather radar and simulated their migration trajectories using an individual-based, spatially explicit model. We demonstrate that regional easterly winds regulate the flux of migratory birds that is available to hunting falcons, determining food availability for their chicks and consequent breeding success. By reconstructing how migratory birds are pushed towards the Canary Islands by trade winds, we explain most of the variation (up to 86%) in annual productivity for over a decade. This study unequivocally illustrates how a climatic driver can influence local-scale demographic processes while providing novel evidence of wind as a major determinant of population fitness in a top predator.

Indexed as

BirdsFalconiformesAnimal MigrationAnimalsSeasonsSpainWeatherWindbird migrationforward trajectory modelpredator–prey interactionstrade windswind‐driven food availability

Identifiers

PMID33439490
PMCPMC7692887

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.