Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33435885›Full record

ArticleBMC cardiovascular disorders2021

Predictors of mortality and adverse events in patients with infective endocarditis: a retrospective real world study in a surgical centre.

Valentina Scheggi, Irene Merilli, Rossella Marcucci, Stefano Del Pace, Iacopo Olivotto, Nicola Zoppetti, Nicole Ceschia, Valentina Andrei, Bruno Alterini, Pier Luigi Stefàno and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed
4.7field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed, 44 citations in OpenAlex.

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  14. Epidemiological, clinical and microbiological aspects of infective endocarditis in Türkiye.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2025
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  18. ACEF score and lactate: lifeline predictors in endocarditis valve procedures: insights from a single-center study.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Valentina ScheggiDivision of Cardiovascular and Perioperative Medicine, Cardiothoracovascular Department, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi and University of Florence, Largo Brambilla 3, 50143, Florence, Italy. scheggiv@aou-careggi.toscana.it.ORCID 0000-0001-8182-7074
Irene MerilliDivision of Cardiovascular and Perioperative Medicine, Cardiothoracovascular Department, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi and University of Florence, Largo Brambilla 3, 50143, Florence, Italy.
Rossella MarcucciDivision of General Cardiology, Cardiothoracovascular Department, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi and University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Stefano Del PaceDivision of General Cardiology, Cardiothoracovascular Department, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi and University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Iacopo OlivottoDivision of General Cardiology, Cardiothoracovascular Department, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi and University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Nicola ZoppettiInstitute of Applied Physics "Nello Carrara" (IFAC), National Research Council, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy.
Nicole CeschiaDivision of General Cardiology, Cardiothoracovascular Department, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi and University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Valentina AndreiDivision of General Cardiology, Cardiothoracovascular Department, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi and University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Bruno AlteriniDivision of Cardiovascular and Perioperative Medicine, Cardiothoracovascular Department, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi and University of Florence, Largo Brambilla 3, 50143, Florence, Italy.
Pier Luigi StefànoDivision of Cardiac Surgery, Cardiothoracovascular Department, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi and University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Niccolò MarchionniDivision of General Cardiology, Cardiothoracovascular Department, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi and University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi · ITNello Carrara Institute of Applied Physics · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeMortality in infective endocarditis (IE) is still high, and the long term prognosis remains uncertain. This study aimed to identify predictors of long-term mortality for any cause, adverse event rate, relapse rate, valvular and ventricular dysfunction at follow-up, in a real-world surgical centre.

methodsWe retrospectively analyzed 363 consecutive episodes of IE (123 women, 34%) admitted to our department with a definite diagnosis of non-device-related IE. Median follow-up duration was 2.9 years. Primary endpoints were predictors of mortality, recurrent endocarditis, and major non-fatal adverse events (hospitalization for any cardiovascular cause, pace-maker implantation, new onset of atrial fibrillation, sternal dehiscence), and ventricular and valvular dysfunction at follow-up.

resultsMultivariate analysis independent predictors of mortality showed age (HR per unit 1.031, p < 0.003), drug abuse (HR 3.5, p < 0.002), EUROSCORE II (HR per unit 1.017, p < 0.0006) and double valve infection (HR 2.3, p < 0.001) to be independent predictors of mortality, while streptococcal infection remained associated with a better prognosis (HR 0.5, p < 0.04). Major non-fatal adverse events were associated with age (HR 1.4, p < 0.022). New episodes of infection were correlated with S aureus infection (HR 4.8, p < 0.001), right-sided endocarditis (HR 7.4, p < 0.001), spondylodiscitis (HR 6.8, p < 0.004) and intravenous drug abuse (HR 10.3, p < 0.001). After multivariate analysis, only drug abuse was an independent predictor of new episodes of endocarditis (HR 8.5, p < 0.001). Echocardiographic follow-up, available in 95 cases, showed a worsening of left ventricular systolic function (p < 0.007); severe valvular dysfunction at follow-up was reported only in 4 patients, all of them had mitral IE (p < 0.03).

conclusionsThe present study highlights some clinical, readily available factors that can be useful to stratify the prognosis of patients with IE.

Indexed as

AgedAge FactorsClinical Decision-MakingConservative TreatmentEndocarditis, BacterialFemaleHeart Valve Prosthesis ImplantationHospitalizationHumansMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsPredictive Value of TestsRecurrenceRegistriesRetrospective StudiesEndocarditisInfective endocarditisMortalityOutcomePrognosisPrognostic factorsValvular dysfunction

Identifiers

PMID33435885
PMCPMC7802147
OpenAlexW3120556256

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.