Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33431866›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Alternating quarantine for sustainable epidemic mitigation.

Dror Meidan, Nava Schulmann, Reuven Cohen, Simcha Haber, Eyal Yaniv, Ronit Sarid, Baruch Barzel

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 51% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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  16. Behavioural response to heterogeneous severity of COVID-19 explains temporal variation of cases among different age groups.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Dror MeidanDepartment of Mathematics, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel.ORCID 0000-0002-0190-8614
Nava SchulmannDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Reuven CohenDepartment of Mathematics, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel.ORCID 0000-0001-8788-2189
Simcha HaberDepartment of Mathematics, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel.ORCID 0000-0001-8421-832X
Eyal YanivGraduate School of Business Administration, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel.
Ronit SaridFaculty of Life Sciences & Institute of Nanotechnology and Advanced Materials, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel.
Baruch BarzelDepartment of Mathematics, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel. baruchbarzel@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0001-8862-4384
Bar-Ilan University · ILInstitut national de recherche en sciences et technologies du numérique · FR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Absent pharmaceutical interventions, social distancing, lock-downs and mobility restrictions remain our prime response in the face of epidemic outbreaks. To ease their potentially devastating socioeconomic consequences, we propose here an alternating quarantine strategy: at every instance, half of the population remains under lockdown while the other half continues to be active - maintaining a routine of weekly succession between activity and quarantine. This regime minimizes infectious interactions, as it allows only half of the population to interact for just half of the time. As a result it provides a dramatic reduction in transmission, comparable to that achieved by a population-wide lockdown, despite sustaining socioeconomic continuity at  ~50% capacity. The weekly alternations also help address the specific challenge of COVID-19, as their periodicity synchronizes with the natural SARS-CoV-2 disease time-scales, allowing to effectively isolate the majority of infected individuals precisely at the time of their peak infection.

Indexed as

QuarantineSARS-CoV-2Communicable Disease ControlCOVID-19Disease Transmission, InfectiousHumansPandemicsPhysical DistancingSocial NetworkingSocioeconomic Factors

Identifiers

PMID33431866
PMCPMC7801583
OpenAlexW3087845140

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.