Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33427033›Full record

ArticleHuman vaccines & immunotherapeutics2021

Public health impact and cost-effectiveness of catch-up 9-valent HPV vaccination of individuals through age 45 years in the United States.

Vincent Daniels, Vimalanand S Prabhu, Cody Palmer, Salome Samant, Smita Kothari, Craig Roberts, Elamin Elbasha

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.8field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 49 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Observational
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Vincent DanielsCenter for Observational and Real World Evidence (CORE), Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3226-7231
Vimalanand S PrabhuCenter for Observational and Real World Evidence (CORE), Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ, USA.
Cody PalmerCenter for Observational and Real World Evidence (CORE), Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9060-5999
Salome SamantCenter for Observational and Real World Evidence (CORE), Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6176-0677
Smita KothariCenter for Observational and Real World Evidence (CORE), Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ, USA.
Craig RobertsCenter for Observational and Real World Evidence (CORE), Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ, USA.
Elamin ElbashaCenter for Observational and Real World Evidence (CORE), Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ, USA.
Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA (United States) · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended catch-up 9-valent Human Papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination through age 26 years, and shared clinical decision-making for adults aged 27-45 years, compared with catch-up through age 26 years and 21 years for females and males, respectively (status quo; pre-June-2019 recommendations). This study assessed the public health impact and cost-effectiveness of expanded catch-up vaccination through age 45 years (expanded catch-up) compared with status quo. We used an HPV dynamic transmission infection and disease model to assess disease outcomes and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of expanded catch-up compared with status quo. Costs (2018 USD), calculated from a healthcare sector perspective, and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) were discounted at 3% annually. Historical vaccination coverage was estimated using NIS-TEEN survey data (NHANES data for sensitivity analysis). Alternative scenario analyses included restricting upper age of expanded catch-up through 26 years (June-2019 ACIP recommendation), 29 years, and further 5-year increments. Our results show expanded catch-up vaccination would prevent additional 37,856 cancers, 314,468 cervical intraepithelial neoplasia-2/3s, 1,743,461 genital warts, and 10,698 deaths compared with status quo over 100 years at cost of $141,000/QALY. With NHANES coverage, the ICER was $96,000/QALY. The June-2019 ACIP recommendation also provided public health benefits with an ICER of $117,000/QALY, compared with status quo. The ICER for expanded vaccination through age 34 years was $107,000/QALY. Expanding catch-up vaccination program through age 45 years-old in the US is expected to provide public health benefits, and cost-effectiveness improves with expanding catch-up through age 34.

Indexed as

Papillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNutrition SurveysPublic HealthQuality-Adjusted Life YearsUnited StatesVaccinationPapillomavirus Vaccines9-valent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccineadultCost-effectivenessdisease transmission modelsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID33427033
PMCPMC8189092
OpenAlexW3120356187

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.