Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33424062›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Statistical Association2020

Evaluation of the health impacts of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments using causal inference and machine learning.

Rachel C Nethery, Fabrizia Mealli, Jason D Sacks, Francesca Dominici

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Rachel C NetheryDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.
Fabrizia MealliDepartment of Statistics, Computer Science, Applications, University of Florence.
Jason D SacksNational Center for Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
Francesca DominiciDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.
Harvard University · USNational Center for Environmental Assessment (EPA) · USUniversity of Florence · IT

Funding

GRADUATE TRAINING IN BIOSTATISTICST32ES007142 · NIEHS · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI Brent Andrew Coull · 1985 to 2026
$11.9M
Project 3: Cumulative Risk and Geospatial Health Disparities Related to Chemical and Non-Chemical Stressor ExposuresP50MD010428 · NIMHD · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI LADEN, FRANCINE, LEVY, JONATHAN I · 2015 to 2020
$4.0M
Environmental Health Disparities in an Older PopulationR01MD012769 · NIMHD · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI BELL, MICHELLE L · 2017 to 2021
$3.9M
Relationship Between Multiple Environmental Exposures and CVD Incidence and Survival: Vulnerability and SusceptibilityR01ES028033 · NIEHS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI DOMINICI, FRANCESCA, LADEN, FRANCINE · 2018 to 2022
$3.5M
Disease Outcomes iN Older adults under extreme Heat, AiR pollution and Medication use (DO-NO-HARM)R01AG060232 · NIA · RUTGERS, THE STATE UNIV OF N.J. · PI SETOGUCHI IWATA, SOKO · 2019 to 2023
$3.0M
Machine Learning for Health Outcomes and Quality of Care in Low-Income PopulationsDP2MD012722 · NIMHD · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI ROSE, SHERRI · 2017 to 2017
$2.5M
Cardiovascular Health and Air Pollution: A National StudyR01ES024332 · NIEHS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI ZANOBETTI, ANTONELLA · 2015 to 2018
$2.5M
Bayesian Methods for Comparative Effectiveness Research with Observational DataR01GM111339 · NIGMS · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI NORMAND, SHARON-LISE TERESA · 2015 to 2018
$2.5M
Improving statistical methods for small area estimates of public health indicators and demographic characteristicsR01HD092580 · NICHD · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI Lance A Waller · 2018 to 2026
$2.3M
Causal Inference with Interference for Evaluating Air Quality PoliciesR01ES026217 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN · PI ZIGLER, CORWIN MATTHEW · 2016 to 2021
$2.2M
Intramural EPA EPA999999NIA NIH HHS R01 AG060232NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD092580NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES024332NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES026217NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES028033NIEHS NIH HHS T32 ES007142NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM111339NIMHD NIH HHS DP2 MD012722NIMHD NIH HHS P50 MD010428NIMHD NIH HHS R01 MD012769
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We develop a causal inference approach to estimate the number of adverse health events that were prevented due to changes in exposure to multiple pollutants attributable to a large-scale air quality intervention/regulation, with a focus on the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA). We introduce a causal estimand called the Total Events Avoided (TEA) by the regulation, defined as the difference in the number of health events expected under the no-regulation pollution exposures and the number observed with-regulation. We propose matching and machine learning methods that leverage population-level pollution and health data to estimate the TEA. Our approach improves upon traditional methods for regulation health impact analyses by formalizing causal identifying assumptions, utilizing population-level data, minimizing parametric assumptions, and collectively analyzing multiple pollutants. To reduce model-dependence, our approach estimates cumulative health impacts in the subset of regions with projected no-regulation features lying within the support of the observed with-regulation data, thereby providing a conservative but data-driven assessment to complement traditional parametric approaches. We analyze the health impacts of the CAAA in the US Medicare population in the year 2000, and our estimates suggest that large numbers of cardiovascular and dementia-related hospitalizations were avoided due to CAAA-attributable changes in pollution exposure.

Indexed as

1990 Clean Air Act AmendmentsBayesian Additive Regression TreesCounterfactual Pollution ExposuresMatching

Identifiers

PMID33424062
PMCPMC7788006
OpenAlexW3046458848

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.