Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33417839›Full record

ArticleTheoretical population biology2021

What the reproductive number R

Clara L Shaw, David A Kennedy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Theoretical population biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Biomedicines · 2025
    Article
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  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Accurate Estimation of Individual Transmission Rates Through Contact Analytics Using UWB Based Indoor Location Data.International Conference on Smart Applications, Communications and Networking : SmartNets. International Conference on Smart Applications, Communications and Networking · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Mathematical epidemiology for a later age.Theoretical population biology · 2022
    Article
  13. Deathdaily: A Python Package Index for predicting the number of daily COVID-19 deaths.Network modeling and analysis in health informatics and bioinformatics · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Lessons from a pandemic.PLOS global public health · 2022
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Clara L ShawCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, United States of America. Electronic address: cls6630@psu.edu.
David A KennedyCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, United States of America. Electronic address: dak30@psu.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The reproductive number R (or R

Indexed as

Basic Reproduction NumberCOVID-19ForecastingHumansModels, StatisticalPandemicsPopulation HealthSARS-CoV-2United StatesCOVID-19Epidemic sizeHeterogeneityInterventionsSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID33417839
PMCPMC7785280

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.