Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33417692›Full record

ArticleEuropean heart journal2021

Predicted benefit of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator: the MADIT-ICD benefit score.

Arwa Younis, Jeffrey J Goldberger, Valentina Kutyifa, Wojciech Zareba, Bronislava Polonsky, Helmut Klein, Mehmet K Aktas, David Huang, James Daubert, Mark Estes and 4 more

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European heart journal, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT06543173 (Primary Preventive Ventricular Tachycardia Ablation In High-Risk Patients Who Receive A Prophylactic Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator), which is not on this map. Cited by 59 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
59citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
8.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06543173 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Primary Preventive Ventricular Tachycardia Ablation In High-Risk Patients Who Receive A Prophylactic Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator (PRIMARY PREVENT-VT TRIAL)

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of RochesterRan2026 to 2030Enrolled62ConditionsHeart FailureArmsProphylactic Catheter-based VT Ablation
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

59 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 126 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Arwa YounisDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, University of Rochester Medical Center, 265 Crittenden Blvd CU 420653, NY 14642, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2485-5025
Jeffrey J GoldbergerDivision of Cardiology, Miller School of Medicine, University of Miami, 1321 NW 14th St #510, Miami, FL 33125, USA.
Valentina KutyifaDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, University of Rochester Medical Center, 265 Crittenden Blvd CU 420653, NY 14642, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0016-289X
Wojciech ZarebaDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, University of Rochester Medical Center, 265 Crittenden Blvd CU 420653, NY 14642, USA.
Bronislava PolonskyDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, University of Rochester Medical Center, 265 Crittenden Blvd CU 420653, NY 14642, USA.
Helmut KleinDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, University of Rochester Medical Center, 265 Crittenden Blvd CU 420653, NY 14642, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1026-4654
Mehmet K AktasDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, University of Rochester Medical Center, 265 Crittenden Blvd CU 420653, NY 14642, USA.
David HuangDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, University of Rochester Medical Center, 265 Crittenden Blvd CU 420653, NY 14642, USA.
James DaubertDivision of Cardiology, Duke Medicine Circle Clinic 2F/2G, Durham, NC 27710, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9616-9219
Mark EstesDivision of Cardiology, UPMC Heart and Vascular Institute 1350 Locust Street, Suite 100 Pittsburgh, PA 15219, USA.
David CannomDivision of Cardiology, Good Samaritan Hospital, 1245 Wilshire Blvd, Ste 703, Los Angeles, CA 90017, USA.
Scott McNittDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, University of Rochester Medical Center, 265 Crittenden Blvd CU 420653, NY 14642, USA.
Kenneth SteinCardiac Rhythm Management, Boston Scientific Corp., 4100 Hamline Ave N, St Paul, MN 55101, USA.
Ilan GoldenbergDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, University of Rochester Medical Center, 265 Crittenden Blvd CU 420653, NY 14642, USA.
University of Rochester Medical Center · USBoston Scientific (United States) · USLegacy Good Samaritan Medical Center · USUniversity of Miami · USUPMC Health System · US

Funding

Late Sodium Current Blockade in High-Risk ICD Patients - CCC - Lead ApplicationU01HL096607 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI ZAREBA, WOJCIECH · 2010 to 2015
$5.9M
Late Sodium Current Blockade in High-Risk ICD Patients - DCCU01HL096610 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI ZAREBA, WOJCIECH · 2010 to 2015
$3.4M
NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL096607NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL096610
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsThe benefit of prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) is not uniform due to differences in the risk of life-threatening ventricular tachycardia (VT)/ventricular fibrillation (VF) and non-arrhythmic mortality. We aimed to develop an ICD benefit prediction score that integrates the competing risks. METHODS AND

resultsThe study population comprised all 4531 patients enrolled in the MADIT trials. Best-subsets Fine and Gray regression analysis was used to develop prognostic models for VT (≥200 b.p.m.)/VF vs. non-arrhythmic mortality (defined as death without prior sustained VT/VF). Eight predictors of VT/VF (male, age < 75 years, prior non-sustained VT, heart rate > 75 b.p.m., systolic blood pressure < 140 mmHg, ejection fraction ≤ 25%, myocardial infarction, and atrialarrhythmia) and 7 predictors of non-arrhythmic mortality (age ≥ 75 years, diabetes mellitus, body mass index < 23 kg/m2, ejection fraction ≤ 25%, New York Heart Association ≥II, ICD vs. cardiac resynchronization therapy with defibrillator, and atrial arrhythmia) were identified. The two scores were combined to create three MADIT-ICD benefit groups. In the highest benefit group, the 3-year predicted risk of VT/VF was three-fold higher than the risk of non-arrhythmic mortality (20% vs. 7%, P < 0.001). In the intermediate benefit group, the difference in the corresponding predicted risks was attenuated (15% vs. 9%, P < 0.01). In the lowest benefit group, the 3-year predicted risk of VT/VF was similar to the risk of non-arrhythmic mortality (11% vs. 12%, P = 0.41). A personalized ICD benefit score was developed based on the distribution of the two competing risks scores in the study population (https://is.gd/madit). Internal and external validation confirmed model stability.

conclusionsWe propose the novel MADIT-ICD benefit score that predicts the likelihood of prophylactic ICD benefit through personalized assessment of the risk of VT/VF weighed against the risk of non-arrhythmic mortality.

Indexed as

Cardiac Resynchronization TherapyDefibrillators, ImplantableTachycardia, VentricularAgedArrhythmias, CardiacHumansMaleRisk FactorsVentricular FibrillationICD benefitImplantable cardioverter-defibrillatorNon-arrhythmic mortalityPrimary preventionRisk scoreSudden cardiac deathVentricular tachyarrhythmiaVentricular tachycardia

Identifiers

PMID33417692
PMCPMC8088341
OpenAlexW3119231216

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.